NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4NYR

NYR

19-16-4

WSH

19-13-5

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLTue, Dec 23FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasWSH -162

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers went into Washington Capitals and beat them, 7–3.

NYR +1.5 cashed (WSH lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

Will Cuylle

LW · #50

3Points

—

SOG

WSH · top performer

Ryan Leonard

RW · #9

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYR19-16-4

WSH19-13-5

NYR19-16-4WSH19-13-5

NYR

19-16-4

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

WSH

19-13-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 12

WSH1@

NYR0

Dec 24

NYR7@

WSH3today

Dec 31

NYR3@

WSH6

Apr 5

WSH1@

NYR8

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WSH -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+13642%

WSH-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗SpreadBet WSH -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat WSH 7-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	1	1	5	7
WSH	0	3	0	3

Period scoring

NYR won 2 · WSH won 1

NYR

WSH

Play-by-play · 280 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·19:50
Brandon Duhaime Snap Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·19:49
Brandon Duhaime Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·19:48
Brandon Duhaime Wrist Shot Short
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·19:47
Brandon Duhaime Tip-In saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·19:31
Hendrix Lapierre faceoff won against Sam Carrick
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·19:31
Noah Laba Tripping against Matt Roy
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·18:53
Scott Morrow shot blocked by Nic Dowd
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·18:49
Sam Carrick Slap Shot Short
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·18:43
Matt Rempe Snap Shot Wide Right
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·18:09
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Sam Carrick
·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·18:09
Vincent Trocheck Goal (8) Backhand, assists: Will Cuylle (13), Taylor Raddysh (4)
· ·
NYR 7·WSH 3
3rd·17:44
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Hendrix Lapierre
·
NYR 6·WSH 3
3rd·17:44
Artemi Panarin Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Mika Zibanejad (17), Alexis Lafrenière (12)
· ·
NYR 6·WSH 3
3rd·17:37
Giveaway by John Carlson
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·17:32
Justin Sourdif Snap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·17:13
Connor McMichael hit Artemi Panarin
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·16:59
Carson Soucy hit Connor McMichael
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·16:39
John Carlson Slap Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·16:09
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Noah Laba
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·16:08
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·16:08
Icing
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·16:01
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Dylan Strome
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·16:01
Puck in Netting
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·15:59
Jakob Chychrun Snap Shot High and Wide Left
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·14:59
John Carlson Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·14:52
Giveaway by Artemi Panarin
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·13:50
Giveaway by Ryan Leonard
NYR 5·WSH 3
3rd·13:43
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Dylan Strome
·
NYR 5·WSH 3

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

WSH -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR +136/WSH -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 24 skaters with EDGE

John CarlsonANA · D
SHOT MPH102.799+
Ryan LeonardWSH · RW
SKATE MPH24.399
Ethen FrankWSH · C
BURSTS22797
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
DIST MI264.495
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs NYR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

Alex OvechkinWSH
3.5± 1.4high
Ryan LeonardWSH
2.5± 0.9high
Mika ZibanejadNYR
2.2± 1.0high

Goals

Alex OvechkinWSH
0.5± 1.1high
Tom WilsonWSH
0.5± 0.7high
Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high
Alex OvechkinWSH
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands