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FINAL+4OTT
OTT

OTT

18-13-4

62
BOS

BOS

20-16-1

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSun, Dec 21FinalSeriesOTT wins series 3-1VegasOTT -148

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators went into Boston Bruins and beat them, 6–2.

OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

OTT · top performer

OTT
Drake Batherson

Drake Batherson

RW · #19

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

BOS
Marat Khusnutdinov

Marat Khusnutdinov

C · #92

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
6
2
OTT18-13-4BOS20-16-1
OTT

OTT

18-13-4

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
BOS

BOS

20-16-1

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

54

PIM

42

Season series

OTT wins series 3-1

Oct 27BOSBOS2@OTTOTT7
Nov 7OTTOTT2@BOSBOS3
Nov 14BOSBOS3@OTTOTT5
Dec 22OTTOTT6@BOSBOS2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

OTTOTT-14860%
BOSBOS+12445%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

OTT beat BOS 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
OTT3306
BOS1102

Period scoring

OTT won 2 · BOS won 0

3
1

1

3
1

2

0
0

3

OTT
BOS

Play-by-play · 336 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  3. 3rd·19:54

    Giveaway by Claude Giroux

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  4. 3rd·19:49

    Morgan Geekie Snap Shot saved by Linus Ullmark

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  5. 3rd·19:39

    Elias Lindholm Tip-In Wide Right

    · ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  6. 3rd·19:32

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Claude Giroux

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  7. 3rd·19:32

    Goalie Stopped

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  8. 3rd·19:30

    Charlie McAvoy Snap Shot saved by Linus Ullmark

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  9. 3rd·19:06

    Giveaway by Elias Lindholm

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  10. 3rd·18:59

    Claude Giroux faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  11. 3rd·18:59

    Ridly Greig Misconduct

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  12. 3rd·18:59

    David Pastrnak Misconduct

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  13. 3rd·18:59

    Nick Jensen Misconduct

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  14. 3rd·18:59

    Ridly Greig Roughing against David Pastrnak

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  15. 3rd·18:59

    David Pastrnak Roughing against Ridly Greig

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  16. 3rd·18:59

    Nick Jensen Tripping against David Pastrnak served by Tim Stützle

    · ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  17. 3rd·18:57

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Ridly Greig

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  18. 3rd·18:57

    Dylan Cozens Misconduct

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  19. 3rd·18:57

    Nikita Zadorov Misconduct

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  20. 3rd·18:57

    Dylan Cozens Kneeing against Nikita Zadorov

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  21. 3rd·18:57

    Nikita Zadorov Roughing against Dylan Cozens

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  22. 3rd·18:44

    Giveaway by Casey Mittelstadt

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  23. 3rd·18:29

    Giveaway by Stephen Halliday

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  24. 3rd·18:18

    Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Stephen Halliday

    · ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  25. 3rd·18:18

    Icing

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  26. 3rd·18:14

    Michael Amadio hit Victor Soderstrom

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  27. 3rd·17:44

    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Victor Soderstrom

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  28. 3rd·17:38

    Giveaway by Andrew Peeke

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  29. 3rd·15:58

    Dylan Cozens faceoff won against Fraser Minten

    ·

    OTT 6·BOS 2

  30. 3rd·15:58

    Hand Pass

    OTT 6·BOS 2

Team stats

OTT

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

28

Shots

20

50.0

PCT

20.0

54

PIM

42

31

Faceoffs W

30

17

Blocks

11

22

Giveaways

15

6

Takeaways

2

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 5.5·OTT -148/BOS +124

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
    SKATE MPH23.092
  • Nikolas MatinpaloOTT · D
    SKATE MPH22.592
  • Morgan GeekieBOS · C
    SHOT MPH88.989
  • Nick JensenOTT · D
    SKATE MPH22.785
  • Dylan CozensOTT · C
    SKATE MPH22.784

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · BOS favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BOS win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BOS win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BOS win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+124

Close price

+124

Open no-vig

42.8%

Close no-vig

42.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR