Model verdict
The verdict · Elo rating
#235 of 241
Elo rating 1365.0 · as of 2026-06-18 · ncaaf_team_ratings
Rank within the full 241-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
-11.6
Avg opp rank
#106
Ranked faced
0
vs ranked
—
Mean SP+ of the 8 rated opponents (of 12 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
Model picks on MTSU
Below the 30-pick gate (n=0)