NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+2STRIPES

STARS

4042

STRIPES

NBASun, Feb 15FinalSeriesSTRIPES leads series 1-0

STARS · top performer

Cade Cunningham

G · #2

9.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

STRIPES · top performer

LeBron James

F · #23

8.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. DurenC · #0	5	7	3-4	—	1-3	-4	3	0
D. BookerG · #1	9	2	1-3	—	—	-1	5	2
T. MaxeyG · #0	8	2	1-2	0-1	—	-4	0	0
C. CunninghamG · #2	9	11	4-6	1-2	2-2	-2	3	4
A. EdwardsG · #5	9	11	5-8	1-4	—	-2	3	1
Bench
S. BarnesF · #4	7	2	1-2	0-1	—	+2	1	1
J. JohnsonF · #1	6	5	2-2	1-1	—	-1	1	1
C. HolmgrenC · #7	7	0	0-3	0-1	—	+2	1	1
Team		40	17-30	3-10	3-5		17	10

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
L. JamesF · #23	7	8	2-4	2-3	2-2	0	1	1
K. DurantF · #7	10	5	2-4	1-3	—	+4	1	1
K. LeonardF · #2	10	5	2-7	1-3	—	+4	5	2
J. BrownG · #7	9	11	5-9	1-3	—	+6	3	0
J. BrunsonG · #11	7	2	1-1	—	—	+2	0	1
Bench
B. IngramF · #3	5	0	0-3	0-1	—	-2	2	1
D. MitchellG · #45	7	6	2-3	2-2	—	-2	0	3
D. FoxG · #4	4	5	2-3	1-2	—	-2	0	1
Team		42	16-34	8-17	2-2		12	10
DNP: S. Curry

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

STARS

Away

Stat

STRIPES

Home

17-30

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

16-34

FG %

3-10

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

8-17

3-5

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

2-2

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

STRIPES leads series 1-0

Feb 15

STARS40@

STRIPES42today

Feb 16

STARS47@

STRIPES21

How it ended

STRIPES beat STARS 42-40. L. James led with 8 PTS, 1 REB, 1 AST.

Last play

End of the 1st Quarter

Starters vs bench

production by unit

STARSstarters 83% of pts

Starters(5)

33 PTS · 14 REB · 7 AST

GS 27

Bench(3)

7 PTS · 3 REB · 3 AST

GS 7

STRIPESstarters 74% of pts

Starters(5)

31 PTS · 10 REB · 5 AST

GS 33

Bench(3)

11 PTS · 2 REB · 5 AST

GS 7

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	T
STARS	40	40
STRIPES	42	42

Shooting comparison

STARS

STRIPES

57%

17-30

47%

16-34

30%

3-10

3PT

47%

8-17

60%

3-5

100%

2-2

Play-by-play · 142 plays

event

player

Q1·0.0
End of the 1st Quarter
STARS 40·STRIPES 42
Q1·0.0
(00:00) [Team Stars] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL REPLAYCENTER)
STARS 40·STRIPES 42
Q1·1.2
De'Aaron Fox makes 28-foot three pointer (Donovan Mitchell assists)
·
STARS 40·STRIPES 42
Q1·19.5
Anthony Edwards makes 27-foot running pullup jump shot
STARS 40·STRIPES 39
Q1·22.5
Donovan Mitchell lost ball turnover (Anthony Edwards steals)
·
STARS 37·STRIPES 39
Q1·34.1
Anthony Edwards makes 1-foot two point shot
STARS 37·STRIPES 39
Q1·43.8
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
STARS 35·STRIPES 39
Q1·46.2
Kawhi Leonard misses 26-foot three point jumper
STARS 35·STRIPES 39
Q1·59.5
Cade Cunningham makes 2-foot two point shot
STARS 35·STRIPES 39
Q1·1:07
LeBron James makes 32-foot three pointer
STARS 33·STRIPES 39
Q1·1:17
Devin Booker makes tip shot
STARS 33·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:17
Devin Booker offensive rebound
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:18
Chet Holmgren misses 12-foot step back jumpshot
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:24
Devin Booker enters the game for Jalen Johnson
·
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:24
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:26
LeBron James misses running layup
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:32
Scottie Barnes bad pass turnover (LeBron James steals)
·
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:40
Donovan Mitchell lost ball turnover (Scottie Barnes steals)
·
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:43
Cade Cunningham bad pass turnover (Kevin Durant steals)
·
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:49
Donovan Mitchell makes 27-foot three point jumper (De'Aaron Fox assists)
·
STARS 31·STRIPES 36
Q1·1:52
Cade Cunningham bad pass turnover (De'Aaron Fox steals)
·
STARS 31·STRIPES 33
Q1·1:55
De'Aaron Fox bad pass turnover (Jalen Johnson steals)
·
STARS 31·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:02
Cade Cunningham makes free throw 2 of 2
STARS 31·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:02
Kevin Durant enters the game for Jalen Brunson
·
STARS 30·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:02
Kawhi Leonard enters the game for Brandon Ingram
·
STARS 30·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:02
Cade Cunningham makes free throw 1 of 2
STARS 30·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:02
Brandon Ingram shooting foul
STARS 29·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:07
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
STARS 29·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:09
De'Aaron Fox misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
STARS 29·STRIPES 33
Q1·2:23
Anthony Edwards makes running layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
·
STARS 29·STRIPES 33

Recap · NBA

eam Stripes held off Team Stars, 42–40. Decided by 2.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Cade CunninghamDET · G
TOUCHES9799+
Jaylen BrownBOS · G
USG%35.699+
Chet HolmgrenOKC · C
CONT10.799+
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Kawhi LeonardTOR · F
USG%33.399

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · STARS favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STRIPES win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STRIPES win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(STRIPES win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · hoopR