NY
41-25
LAC
32-32
NY · top performer
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · #32
35
Pts
12
Reb
7
Ast
LAC · top performer
Kawhi Leonard
F · #2
29
Pts
7
Reb
8
Ast
Biggest swing: 18pp · 4th Quarter · 11:30
NBA · New York Knicks at LA Clippers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 37 | 22 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 3-4 | -3 | 6 | 2 | |
| 36 | 35 | 13-17 | 3-4 | 6-8 | -12 | 12 | 7 | |
| 37 | 12 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | -13 | 13 | 3 | |
| 26 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-3 | — | -17 | 7 | 4 | |
| 38 | 28 | 12-23 | 2-7 | 2-3 | +1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 18 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | — | +3 | 4 | 2 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +4 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 23 | 9 | 3-12 | 3-12 | — | +6 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 | — | -8 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 118 | 46-90 | 14-40 | 12-16 | 51 | 32 | ||
| DNP: T. Jemison III, J. Sochan, P. Dadiet, K. McCullar Jr. | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 35 | 29 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 7-7 | +26 | 7 | 8 | |
| 34 | 16 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | +1 | 7 | 2 | |
| 30 | 16 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | +23 | 4 | 3 | |
| 29 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | — | -2 | 7 | 3 | |
| 30 | 23 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 4-6 | +20 | 1 | 7 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | — | -13 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | -13 | 3 | 0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | — | -7 | 0 | 1 | |
| 36 | 28 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 8-9 | +5 | 7 | 1 | |
| Team | 126 | 43-93 | 18-39 | 22-26 | 36 | 25 | ||
| DNP: N. Omier, B. Bogdanovic, K. Sanders, S. Pedulla, C. Christie | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
51
FG %
46
32
Ast
25
Team stats
NY
Away
Stat
LAC
Home
46-90
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
43-93
51
FG %
46
14-40
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
18-39
12-16
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
22-26
32
Assists
25
19
Turnovers
8
Season series
Series tied 1-1
LAC111@NY123NY118@LAC126todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -1.5
Between — and 5
Total
220.5
Standard · -5.5 vs avg
Moneyline
NY-13057%LAC+11048%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
220.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LAC beat NY 126-118. K. Leonard paced them with 29 PTS, 7 REB, 8 AST. Isaiah Jackson's play in the 4th quarter drove the biggest swing of the night (18pp).
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LAC vs NY
Starters vs bench
production by unitNYstarters 88% of ptsStarters(5)
104 PTS · 42 REB · 24 AST
GS 90
Bench(6)
14 PTS · 9 REB · 8 AST
GS 3
LACstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
89 PTS · 26 REB · 23 AST
GS 88
Bench(4)
37 PTS · 10 REB · 2 AST
GS 20
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactIsaiah Jackson · misses 3-foot tip shot
Brook Lopez · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Darius Garland assists)
Brook Lopez · shooting foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 24 | 31 | 26 | 37 | 118 |
| LAC | 28 | 36 | 24 | 38 | 126 |
Period scoring
NY won 1 · LAC won 3
Q1
Brunson 13
Leonard 7
Q2
Towns 17
Leonard 14
Q3
Brunson 6
Mathurin 12
Q4
Towns 11
Dunn 16
Shooting comparison
51%
46-90
FG
46%
43-93
35%
14-40
3PT
46%
18-39
75%
12-16
FT
85%
22-26
Play-by-play · 478 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 118·LAC 126
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 118·LAC 126
- Q4·6.0
Darius Garland makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 118·LAC 126
- Q4·6.0
Jordan Miller enters the game for Kawhi Leonard
·
NY 118·LAC 125
- Q4·6.0
Darius Garland makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 118·LAC 125
- Q4·6.0
Ariel Hukporti enters the game for Karl-Anthony Towns
·
NY 118·LAC 124
- Q4·6.0
Karl-Anthony Towns personal take foul
NY 118·LAC 124
- Q4·7.5
Karl-Anthony Towns makes tip shot
NY 118·LAC 124
- Q4·7.5
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
NY 116·LAC 124
- Q4·8.3
Jalen Brunson misses driving floating jump shot
NY 116·LAC 124
+0.5pp
- Q4·17.9
Bennedict Mathurin makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 116·LAC 124
- Q4·17.9
Bennedict Mathurin makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 116·LAC 123
- Q4·17.9
Landry Shamet personal take foul
NY 116·LAC 122
+1pp
- Q4·19.8
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
NY 116·LAC 122
+0.8pp
- Q4·22.8
Karl-Anthony Towns misses tip shot
NY 116·LAC 122
+2pp
- Q4·23.8
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
NY 116·LAC 122
−2pp
- Q4·24.7
OG Anunoby misses 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
NY 116·LAC 122
+2pp
- Q4·29.0
Josh Hart offensive rebound
NY 116·LAC 122
−2pp
- Q4·31.7
Landry Shamet misses 23-foot three point jumper
NY 116·LAC 122
+2pp
- Q4·34.9
Knicks Full timeout
NY 116·LAC 122
- Q4·34.9
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
NY 116·LAC 122
- Q4·35.3
Darius Garland misses free throw 2 of 2
NY 116·LAC 122
−4pp
- Q4·35.3
Darius Garland makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 116·LAC 122
- Q4·35.3
Karl-Anthony Towns personal take foul
NY 116·LAC 121
+3pp
- Q4·36.9
Jalen Brunson makes 7-foot two point shot
NY 116·LAC 121
−4pp
- Q4·47.6
Clippers offensive team rebound
NY 114·LAC 121
+2pp
- Q4·47.6
Darius Garland makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 114·LAC 121
−2pp
- Q4·47.6
Darius Garland misses free throw 1 of 2
NY 114·LAC 120
−0.7pp
- Q4·47.6
Josh Hart personal take foul
NY 114·LAC 120
+2pp
- Q4·47.9
Landry Shamet makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jalen Brunson assists)
·
NY 114·LAC 120
−2pp
Betting line
NY -1.5·O/U 220.5·NY -130/LAC +110
Recap · NBA
A Clippers held off New York Knicks, 126–118.
LAC +1.5 cashed (NY lost outright). Total cleared the 220.5 OVER by 23.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.699- Kawhi LeonardLAC · FUSG%33.399
Josh HartNY · GDEFL4.198
Kris DunnLAC · GDEFL3.697
Darius GarlandLAC · GDRIVES13.896
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LAC vs NY.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
155
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- Kawhi LeonardLAC25.5± 4.3high
- Darius GarlandLAC19.0± 5.5high
Rebounds
- Josh HartNY8.4± 3.0high
- Mitchell RobinsonNY6.7± 2.5high
- Kawhi LeonardLAC6.5± 1.4high
Assists
- Darius GarlandLAC6.3± 2.3high
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
- Josh HartNY4.6± 1.9high
Blocks
- Brook LopezLAC1.3± 1.4high
- Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC1.3± 1.5high
- Isaiah JacksonLAC1.2± 0.8high
Steals
- Kris DunnLAC1.6± 1.1high
- Josh HartNY1.5± 1.4high
- OG AnunobyNY1.5± 1.3high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
NY
league avg
LAC
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
55.9%
48.0%
FG%
47.0
▶48.5%
116.4
PPG
114.9
113.9
27.0
Assists / G
25.0
23.8
12.7
Turnovers / G
14.0
13.6