NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+6NY

37-21

10599

CHI

24-34

NBASun, Feb 22FinalSeriesNY leads series 2-1VegasNY -9.5

NY · top performer

Karl-Anthony Towns

C · #32

24.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

CHI · top performer

Patrick Williams

F · #44

11.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowNY ↔ CHI

Biggest swing: 18pp · 4th Quarter · 50.9

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	34	9	4-11	0-4	1-2	+17	9	2
K. TownsC · #32	32	28	10-17	5-9	3-4	+13	11	2
J. HartG · #3	33	11	4-5	1-1	2-4	+16	9	5
M. BridgesG · #25	30	11	4-10	3-8	—	+5	2	5
J. BrunsonG · #11	36	19	7-19	1-6	4-6	+14	5	9
Bench
J. SochanF · #20	11	2	1-2	—	—	-10	3	2
A. HukportiC · #55	15	4	1-3	—	2-2	-6	5	0
L. ShametG · #44	23	16	5-9	4-8	2-3	-10	2	0
J. AlvaradoG · #5	25	5	2-8	1-6	—	-9	4	2
Team		105	38-84	15-42	14-21		50	27
DNP: T. Jemison III, D. Jones, M. Diawara, J. Clarkson, T. Kolek

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
G. YabuseleF · #28	30	11	4-8	3-6	—	-3	13	1
J. SmithF · #25	18	12	5-11	2-6	—	-9	5	1
I. OkoroF · #35	33	12	4-10	3-7	1-1	-15	6	1
M. BuzelisF · #14	26	15	4-12	3-9	4-5	-6	4	0
J. GiddeyG · #3	23	6	2-10	0-3	2-3	-14	2	6
Bench
P. WilliamsF · #44	28	10	3-8	2-7	2-2	+6	1	8
N. RichardsC · #13	23	9	3-6	0-1	3-5	0	13	0
C. SextonG · #2	12	8	2-5	2-4	2-2	+1	1	0
T. JonesG · #30	23	8	4-9	0-1	—	+1	1	3
R. DillinghamG · #7	24	8	3-7	1-2	1-3	+9	4	4
Team		99	34-86	16-46	15-21		50	24
DNP: L. Miller, M. McClung, Y. Kawamura, Olbrich

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

38-84

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

34-86

FG %

15-42

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

16-46

14-21

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-21

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY leads series 2-1

Nov 1

NY125@

CHI135

Nov 3

CHI116@

NY128

Feb 23

NY105@

CHI99today

Apr 3

CHI96@

NY136

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -9.5

Half-pt below key 10

Total

234.5

High-scoring · +8.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NY-38079%

CHI+30025%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -9.5↗SpreadBet NY -9.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

9.5

0.0 since open

Total

234.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat CHI 105-99. K. Towns paced them with 28 PTS, 11 REB, 2 AST. OG Anunoby's play in the 4th quarter drove the biggest swing of the night (18pp).

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CHI vs NY

Starters vs bench

production by unit

NYstarters 74% of pts

Starters(5)

78 PTS · 36 REB · 23 AST

GS 69

Bench(4)

27 PTS · 14 REB · 4 AST

GS 20

CHIstarters 57% of pts

Starters(5)

56 PTS · 30 REB · 9 AST

GS 34

Bench(5)

43 PTS · 20 REB · 15 AST

GS 39

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

NY4th Quarter · 2:34 · 97-95

+17pp→ 69% WP

Karl-Anthony Towns · makes 26-foot three point jumper (OG Anunoby assists)

CHI4th Quarter · 4:30 · 94-92

+17pp→ 25% WP

Collin Sexton · bad pass turnover (Ariel Hukporti steals)

CHI4th Quarter · 50.9 · 100-97

+18pp→ 30% WP

OG Anunoby · shooting foul

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
NY	25	27	31	22	105
CHI	27	26	25	21	99

Period scoring

NY won 3 · CHI won 1

Towns 8

Richards 7

Towns 9

Smith 13

Brunson 9

Buzelis 8

Towns 11

Sexton 8

CHI

Shooting comparison

CHI

45%

38-84

40%

34-86

36%

15-42

3PT

35%

16-46

67%

14-21

71%

15-21

Play-by-play · 481 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 105·CHI 99
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 105·CHI 99
−0.6pp
Q4·13.1
Josh Hart defensive rebound
NY 105·CHI 99
−0.5pp
Q4·14.9
Josh Giddey misses driving floating jump shot
NY 105·CHI 99
−2pp
Q4·21.6
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 105·CHI 99
+1pp
Q4·21.6
Matas Buzelis enters the game for Isaac Okoro
·
NY 104·CHI 99
Q4·21.6
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 104·CHI 99
−0.5pp
Q4·21.6
Isaac Okoro personal foul
NY 103·CHI 99
−4pp
Q4·22.5
Tre Jones makes two point shot (Josh Giddey assists)
· ·
NY 103·CHI 99
+2pp
Q4·26.4
Landry Shamet enters the game for Karl-Anthony Towns
·
NY 103·CHI 97
Q4·26.4
Bulls Full timeout
NY 103·CHI 97
Q4·26.6
Mikal Bridges makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jalen Brunson assists)BIG MOMENT
·
NY 103·CHI 97
−10pp
Q4·48.1
Josh Hart defensive rebound
NY 100·CHI 97
Q4·50.9
Josh Giddey misses free throw 1 of 1BIG MOMENT
NY 100·CHI 97
−16pp
Q4·50.9
OG Anunoby shooting foulBIG MOMENT
NY 100·CHI 97
+18pp
Q4·50.9
Josh Giddey makes driving layup (Patrick Williams assists)
·
NY 100·CHI 97
+3pp
Q4·55.0
Bulls Full timeout
NY 100·CHI 95
Q4·55.0
Karl-Anthony Towns makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 100·CHI 95
Q4·55.0
Guerschon Yabusele enters the game for Matas Buzelis
·
NY 99·CHI 95
Q4·55.0
Patrick Williams enters the game for Nick RichardsBIG MOMENT
·
NY 99·CHI 95
−17pp
Q4·55.0
Knicks offensive team rebound
NY 99·CHI 95
+3pp
Q4·55.0
Karl-Anthony Towns misses free throw 1 of 2
NY 99·CHI 95
+2pp
Q4·55.0
Nick Richards shooting foul
NY 99·CHI 95
−5pp
Q4·1:10
OG Anunoby defensive rebound
NY 99·CHI 95
−2pp
Q4·1:14
Josh Giddey misses 27-foot three point jumper
NY 99·CHI 95
+0.5pp
Q4·1:31
OG Anunoby lost ball turnover (Josh Giddey steals)BIG MOMENT
·
NY 99·CHI 95
+17pp
Q4·1:35
Josh Hart offensive rebound
NY 99·CHI 95
−5pp
Q4·1:38
Karl-Anthony Towns misses 26-foot three point jumper
NY 99·CHI 95
+4pp
Q4·1:47
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
NY 99·CHI 95
−2pp
Q4·1:50
Matas Buzelis misses 24-foot three point jumper
NY 99·CHI 95
−4pp

Betting line

NY -9.5·O/U 234.5·NY -380/CHI +300

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks went into Chicago Bulls and beat them, 105–99.

CHI +9.5 cashed (NY won by 6). Total stayed UNDER 234.5 by 30.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Josh GiddeyCHI · G
TOUCHES94.199
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496
Matas BuzelisCHI · F
CONT7.995

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHI vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 135 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high
Collin SextonCHI
17.9± 4.5high

Rebounds

Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high
Nick RichardsCHI
6.7± 2.5high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high

Blocks

Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high
Jalen SmithCHI
0.9± 1.0high

Steals

Collin SextonCHI
1.6± 1.3high
Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

CHI

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

54.7%

48.0%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.9%

116.4

PPG

114.9

116.3

27.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

28.5

12.7

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

14.6

Data via ESPN · hoopR