NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+28CLE

BKN

15-39

84112

CLE

35-21

NBAThu, Feb 19FinalSeriesCLE leads series 2-0VegasCLE -15.5

BKN · top performer

Ochai Agbaji

G · #30

12.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

CLE · top performer

James Harden

G · #1

20.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowBKN ↔ CLE

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Porter Jr.F · #17	21	14	5-13	1-6	3-3	-23	5	2
N. ClowneyF · #21	20	8	3-8	2-7	—	-23	1	2
D. SharpeC · #20	20	4	1-5	0-1	2-2	-28	5	3
E. DeminG · #8	26	10	3-8	2-5	2-3	-18	5	1
N. TraoreG · #88	30	8	3-11	1-3	1-2	-19	1	5
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	7	3	1-2	1-2	—	+2	3	0
Z. WilliamsF · #1	22	2	1-9	0-6	—	-13	2	1
D. WolfF · #2	28	11	4-12	2-6	1-4	-3	6	7
T. MannG · #14	22	9	3-5	2-3	1-2	-8	3	0
O. AgbajiG · #30	28	13	5-8	3-6	—	-4	3	3
D. PowellG · #4	16	2	1-6	0-4	—	-3	2	1
Team		84	30-87	14-49	10-16		36	25

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. WadeF · #32	16	11	4-4	3-3	—	+28	5	0
J. AllenC · #31	24	15	5-8	0-1	5-10	+31	10	1
E. MobleyC · #4	19	10	5-9	0-1	—	+20	9	2
J. HardenG · #1	28	16	6-8	3-5	1-2	+25	5	9
D. MitchellG · #45	21	17	7-12	2-4	1-1	+37	3	5
Bench
L. Nance Jr.F · #22	12	0	0-3	0-2	—	-7	5	0
T. EnarunaF · #21	9	2	1-3	0-1	0-1	-2	1	0
D. SchroderG · #8	20	12	4-8	1-1	3-4	+10	3	3
S. MerrillG · #5	22	3	1-4	1-4	—	+13	3	3
J. TysonG · #20	23	11	4-10	1-4	2-2	+10	5	2
C. Porter Jr.G · #9	17	2	1-5	0-2	—	-14	2	2
K. EllisG · #14	20	7	3-6	1-4	—	-9	3	0
T. ProctorG · #24	10	6	3-6	0-3	—	-2	2	0
Team		112	44-86	12-35	12-20		56	27
DNP: T. Bryant

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

BKN

Away

Stat

CLE

Home

30-87

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

44-86

FG %

14-49

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

12-35

10-16

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-20

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

CLE leads series 2-0

Oct 24

CLE131@

BKN124

Feb 20

BKN84@

CLE112today

Mar 1

CLE106@

BKN102

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CLE -15.5

Between 10 and —

Total

229.5

Standard · +3.5 vs avg

Moneyline

BKN+67513%

CLE-105091%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CLE -15.5↗SpreadBet CLE -15.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

15.5

0.0 since open

Total

229.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CLE beat BKN 112-84. J. Harden led with 16 PTS, 5 REB, 9 AST. CLE outscored the other side 34-16 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CLE vs BKN

Starters vs bench

production by unit

BKNstarters 52% of pts

Starters(5)

44 PTS · 17 REB · 13 AST

GS 27

Bench(6)

40 PTS · 19 REB · 12 AST

GS 29

CLEstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

69 PTS · 32 REB · 17 AST

GS 70

Bench(8)

43 PTS · 24 REB · 10 AST

GS 29

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
BKN	16	32	19	17	84
CLE	34	36	32	10	112

Period scoring

BKN won 1 · CLE won 3

Clowney 6

Allen 10

Jr. 8

Mitchell 18

Wolf 6

Mobley 32

Jr. 9

Proctor 6

BKN

CLE

Shooting comparison

BKN

CLE

34%

30-87

51%

44-86

29%

14-49

3PT

34%

12-35

63%

10-16

60%

12-20

Play-by-play · 449 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·8.5
shot clock turnover
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·30.5
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·33.2
Egor Demin misses 25-foot three point jumper
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·49.7
Nets offensive team rebound
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·49.7
Egor Demin misses technical free throw
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·49.7
Larry Nance Jr. technical foul
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·50.2
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·50.2
Keon Ellis misses 23-foot three point jumper
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·53.5
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·55.5
Craig Porter Jr. misses 25-foot three point jumper
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·1:09
Egor Demin makes free throw 2 of 2
BKN 84·CLE 112
Q4·1:09
Egor Demin makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 83·CLE 112
Q4·1:09
Craig Porter Jr. personal foul
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·1:12
Egor Demin defensive rebound
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·1:14
Larry Nance Jr. misses 24-foot three point jumper
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·1:23
Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·1:27
Egor Demin misses 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·1:38
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·1:40
Tristan Enaruna misses 23-foot three point jumper
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·2:01
Danny Wolf makes driving layup (Nolan Traore assists)
·
BKN 82·CLE 112
Q4·2:14
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
BKN 80·CLE 112
Q4·2:17
Tyrese Proctor misses 26-foot three point jumper
BKN 80·CLE 112
Q4·2:39
Tristan Enaruna defensive rebound
BKN 80·CLE 112
Q4·2:42
Danny Wolf misses 32-foot three point jumper
BKN 80·CLE 112
Q4·2:57
Craig Porter Jr. makes running layup
BKN 80·CLE 112
Q4·3:02
Nolan Traore lost ball turnover (Keon Ellis steals)
·
BKN 80·CLE 110
Q4·3:15
Tristan Enaruna steps out of bounds turnover
BKN 80·CLE 110
Q4·3:32
Ochai Agbaji makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)
·
BKN 80·CLE 110

Betting line

CLE -15.5·O/U 229.5·BKN +675/CLE -1050

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

leveland Cavaliers held off Brooklyn Nets, 112–84. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

CLE -15.5 cashed (won by 28). Total stayed UNDER 229.5 by 33.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Jarrett AllenCLE · C
CONT9.899
Donovan MitchellCLE · G
USG%31.998
Evan MobleyCLE · C
CONT9.498
Michael Porter Jr.BKN · F
USG%29.995
Ziaire WilliamsBKN · F
DEFL3.295

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · BKN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CLE vs BKN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 130 high confidence

Points

Donovan MitchellCLE
27.5± 7.3high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
James HardenCLE
19.6± 6.6high

Rebounds

Evan MobleyCLE
8.0± 3.5high
Jarrett AllenCLE
7.3± 2.3high
Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high

Assists

James HardenCLE
5.9± 2.8high
Donovan MitchellCLE
3.9± 2.0high
Evan MobleyCLE
3.9± 1.9high

Blocks

Evan MobleyCLE
2.1± 1.3high
Jarrett AllenCLE
1.3± 0.7high
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high

Steals

Donovan MitchellCLE
1.5± 1.8high
James HardenCLE
1.4± 1.2high
Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

BKN

league avg

CLE

52.0%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.6%

44.3%

FG%

47.0

▶

47.7%

105.9

PPG

114.9

▶

117.4

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

27.1

15.0

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

13.8

Data via ESPN · hoopR