NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+38DET

33-19

80118

DET

38-13

NBAFri, Feb 6FinalSeriesDET leads series 2-0VegasDET -5.5

NY · top performer

Jordan Clarkson

G · #00

11.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

DET · top performer

Daniss Jenkins

G · #24

15.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowNY ↔ DET

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 11:24

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. DiawaraF · #51	21	4	2-5	0-3	—	-14	2	0
M. RobinsonC · #23	20	4	2-2	—	—	-14	3	0
J. HartG · #3	25	5	2-7	1-2	—	-9	6	2
M. BridgesG · #25	28	19	7-16	3-7	2-3	-28	1	2
J. BrunsonG · #11	31	12	4-20	0-8	4-6	-24	4	4
Bench
T. Jemison IIIF · #50	6	2	1-2	—	—	-2	0	0
P. DadietF · #4	7	5	1-4	1-3	2-2	-4	1	0
A. HukportiC · #55	22	6	2-4	—	2-2	-22	7	1
J. ClarksonG · #00	19	11	3-6	1-1	4-4	-23	4	5
L. ShametG · #44	21	5	2-7	1-5	—	-21	2	3
K. McCullar Jr.G · #9	20	2	1-3	0-1	—	-14	2	2
T. KolekG · #13	20	5	2-6	1-3	—	-15	3	3
Team		80	29-82	8-33	14-17		35	22
DNP: O. Anunoby

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
T. HarrisF · #12	26	15	5-11	3-6	2-2	+21	6	1
D. RobinsonF · #55	20	9	3-8	3-7	—	+7	4	2
I. StewartF · #28	21	15	6-7	1-2	2-2	+6	3	0
C. CunninghamG · #2	22	11	4-11	1-3	2-3	+9	5	7
A. ThompsonG · #9	24	2	1-3	—	—	+11	3	1
Bench
P. ReedF · #7	27	12	4-8	1-3	3-3	+32	6	4
W. Moore Jr.F · #14	6	0	—	—	—	+2	1	0
R. Holland IIF · #5	21	5	1-4	0-3	3-4	+28	6	3
J. GreenG · #31	14	8	3-3	2-2	—	+12	3	0
C. LeVertG · #8	18	8	3-5	2-3	—	+27	1	6
K. HuerterG · #27	8	8	4-6	0-2	—	+6	0	1
M. SasserG · #25	10	0	0-2	0-1	—	+4	0	2
C. LanierG · #20	6	7	3-4	1-2	—	+2	2	1
D. JenkinsG · #24	18	18	7-11	3-6	1-1	+23	4	3
Team		118	44-83	17-40	13-15		44	31
DNP: J. Duren

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

DET

Home

29-82

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

44-83

FG %

8-33

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

17-40

14-17

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

13-15

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

DET leads series 2-0

Jan 6

NY90@

DET121

Feb 7

NY80@

DET118today

Feb 20

DET126@

NY111

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -5.5

Half-pt above key 5

Total

219.5

Standard · -6.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NY+18036%

DET-21869%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -5.5↗SpreadBet DET -5.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

0.0 since open

Total

219.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat NY 118-80. D. Jenkins led with 18 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST. DET outscored the other side 28-17 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

DET vs NY

Starters vs bench

production by unit

NYstarters 55% of pts

Starters(5)

44 PTS · 16 REB · 8 AST

GS 20

Bench(7)

36 PTS · 19 REB · 14 AST

GS 31

DETstarters 44% of pts

Starters(5)

52 PTS · 21 REB · 11 AST

GS 42

Bench(9)

66 PTS · 23 REB · 20 AST

GS 67

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
NY	17	25	18	20	80
DET	28	35	27	28	118

Period scoring

NY won 0 · DET won 4

Bridges 6

Cunningham 10

Bridges 9

Green 8

Brunson 7

Harris 7

Clarkson 6

Huerter 8

DET

Shooting comparison

DET

35%

29-82

53%

44-83

24%

8-33

3PT

43%

17-40

82%

14-17

87%

13-15

Play-by-play · 444 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 80·DET 118
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 80·DET 118
Q4·8.5
Marcus Sasser bad pass turnover (Trey Jemison III steals)
·
NY 80·DET 118
Q4·32.9
Jordan Clarkson makes tip shot
NY 80·DET 118
Q4·35.3
Jordan Clarkson offensive rebound
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·35.3
Jordan Clarkson misses running layup
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·38.6
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·41.9
Kevin Huerter misses 25-foot three point jumper
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·56.6
Chaz Lanier offensive rebound
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·56.6
Chaz Lanier misses running pullup jump shot
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·59.7
Wendell Moore Jr. defensive rebound
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·1:01
Kevin McCullar Jr. misses driving layup
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·1:12
Chaz Lanier makes 17-foot fade away jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)
·
NY 78·DET 118
Q4·1:23
Pacome Dadiet makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 78·DET 116
Q4·1:23
Pacome Dadiet makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 77·DET 116
Q4·1:23
Kevin Huerter shooting foul
NY 76·DET 116
Q4·1:25
Marcus Sasser bad pass turnover (Pacome Dadiet steals)
·
NY 76·DET 116
Q4·1:45
Pacome Dadiet makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jordan Clarkson assists)
·
NY 76·DET 116
Q4·1:57
Kevin Huerter makes running layup (Paul Reed assists)
·
NY 73·DET 116
Q4·1:58
Paul Reed defensive rebound
NY 73·DET 114
Q4·2:01
Tyler Kolek misses driving layup
NY 73·DET 114
Q4·2:15
Kevin Huerter makes 16-foot step back jumpshot (Marcus Sasser assists)
·
NY 73·DET 114
Q4·2:36
Kevin McCullar Jr. out of bounds bad pass turnover
NY 73·DET 112
Q4·2:37
Kevin McCullar Jr. defensive rebound
NY 73·DET 112
Q4·2:41
Paul Reed misses 22-foot three point jumper
NY 73·DET 112
Q4·2:53
Kevin McCullar Jr. lost ball turnover (Paul Reed steals)
·
NY 73·DET 112
Q4·3:04
Kevin Huerter makes running layup (Chaz Lanier assists)
·
NY 73·DET 112
Q4·3:08
Trey Jemison III bad pass turnover (Kevin Huerter steals)
·
NY 73·DET 110
Q4·3:20
Chaz Lanier personal foul
NY 73·DET 110
Q4·3:31
Knicks defensive team rebound
NY 73·DET 110

Betting line

DET -5.5·O/U 219.5·NY +180/DET -218

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

etroit Pistons held off New York Knicks, 118–80. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

DET -5.5 cashed (won by 38). Total stayed UNDER 219.5 by 21.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 12 players in cohort

Cade CunninghamDET · G
TOUCHES9799+
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Ausar ThompsonDET · G
DEFL3.596
Paul ReedDET · F
TS%65.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

DET vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Cade CunninghamDET
26.1± 9.6high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Jalen DurenDET
9.1± 3.9high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high

Assists

Cade CunninghamDET
8.2± 2.8high
Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Jalen DurenDET
1.0± 1.1high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high
Paul ReedDET
0.9± 1.3high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Cade CunninghamDET
1.4± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

DET

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

54.2%

48.0%

FG%

47.0

48.0%

116.4

PPG

114.9

115.9

27.0

Assists / G

25.0

27.0

12.7

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

14.3

Data via ESPN · hoopR