PHI
29-21
GS
27-24
PHI · top performer
VJ Edgecombe
G · #77
25
Pts
7
Reb
7
Ast
GS · top performer
Gui Santos
F · #15
13
Pts
2
Reb
3
Ast
Biggest swing: 31pp · 3rd Quarter · 8:43
NBA · Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 10 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | +12 | 6 | 1 | |
| 29 | 12 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | +7 | 12 | 1 | |
| 35 | 15 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 3-4 | +7 | 6 | 3 | |
| 34 | 14 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 7-7 | +14 | 4 | 3 | |
| 40 | 25 | 11-20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | +27 | 7 | 7 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 27 | 16 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | +10 | 8 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 11 | 5-6 | — | 1-2 | +10 | 7 | 0 | |
| 23 | 10 | 4-9 | 2-6 | — | +7 | 5 | 3 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | +10 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team | 113 | 42-93 | 13-38 | 16-21 | 56 | 23 | ||
| DNP: P. George, K. Lowry, E. Gordon | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 25 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-7 | — | -27 | 7 | 3 | |
| 26 | 13 | 5-7 | 3-5 | — | -13 | 2 | 3 | |
| 20 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | — | -27 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4-8 | 4-8 | — | -26 | 2 | 0 | |
| 25 | 8 | 3-8 | 2-5 | — | -22 | 2 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | -2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | -2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 17 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | — | +10 | 4 | 3 | |
| 28 | 9 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | +6 | 3 | 3 | |
| 9 | 0 | — | — | — | +2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 24 | 10 | 5-13 | 0-5 | — | +9 | 6 | 6 | |
| 26 | 13 | 5-8 | 3-4 | — | +4 | 4 | 3 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | — | -7 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 94 | 37-78 | 19-48 | 1-2 | 33 | 27 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
45
FG %
47
23
Ast
27
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
GS
Home
42-93
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
37-78
45
FG %
47
13-38
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
19-48
16-21
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
1-2
23
Assists
27
12
Turnovers
20
Season series
PHI wins series 2-0
GS98@PHI99PHI113@GS94todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
GS -4.5
Half-pt below key 5
Total
222.5
Standard · -3.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI+14541%GS-17564%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
4.5
0.0 since open
Total
222.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
PHI beat GS 113-94. V. Edgecombe paced them with 25 PTS, 7 REB, 7 AST. PHI outscored the other side 26-16 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
GS vs PHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHIstarters 67% of ptsStarters(5)
76 PTS · 35 REB · 15 AST
GS 67
Bench(7)
37 PTS · 21 REB · 8 AST
GS 35
GSstarters 52% of ptsStarters(5)
49 PTS · 13 REB · 10 AST
GS 36
Bench(8)
45 PTS · 20 REB · 17 AST
GS 35
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactBuddy Hield · misses 25-foot three point jumper
(02:06) [76ers] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL REPLAYCENTER)
De'Anthony Melton · misses 22-foot three point jumper
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 31 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 113 |
| GS | 32 | 23 | 16 | 23 | 94 |
Period scoring
PHI won 3 · GS won 1
Q1
Jr. 8
Santos 26
Q2
Grimes 8
Horford 12
Q3
Edgecombe 8
Melton 35
Q4
Watford 7
Moody 6
Shooting comparison
45%
42-93
FG
47%
37-78
34%
13-38
3PT
40%
19-48
76%
16-21
FT
50%
1-2
Play-by-play · 444 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 113·GS 94
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 113·GS 94
- Q4·5.9
shot clock turnover
PHI 113·GS 94
- Q4·31.5
Pat Spencer makes 27-foot running pullup jump shot (Will Richard assists)
·
PHI 113·GS 94
- Q4·35.4
Will Richard defensive rebound
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·37.1
Jabari Walker misses driving layup
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·58.6
Malevy Leons out of bounds bad pass turnover
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·1:02
Trendon Watford lost ball turnover (Buddy Hield steals)
·
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·1:19
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·1:23
Buddy Hield misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·1:31
Jared McCain enters the game for VJ Edgecombe
·
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·1:31
Jabari Walker personal take foul
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·1:38
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·1:41
VJ Edgecombe misses 19-foot step back jumpshot
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·2:05
Johni Broome enters the game for Kelly Oubre Jr.
·
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·2:05
Jabari Walker enters the game for Andre Drummond
·
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·2:05
Justin Edwards enters the game for Tyrese Maxey
·
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·2:05
Pat Spencer out of bounds bad pass turnover
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·2:14
Trendon Watford makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tyrese Maxey assists)
·
PHI 113·GS 91
- Q4·2:33
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
PHI 110·GS 91
- Q4·2:37
Will Richard misses 25-foot three point jumper
PHI 110·GS 91
- Q4·2:53
VJ Edgecombe makes driving layup
PHI 110·GS 91
- Q4·3:16
Will Richard enters the game for Gui Santos
·
PHI 108·GS 91
- Q4·3:16
Trayce Jackson-Davis enters the game for Quinten Post
·
PHI 108·GS 91
- Q4·3:16
Malevy Leons enters the game for De'Anthony Melton
·
PHI 108·GS 91
- Q4·3:16
76ers Full timeout
PHI 108·GS 91
- Q4·3:19
Gui Santos makes 26-foot three point jumper (Pat Spencer assists)
·
PHI 108·GS 91
- Q4·3:32
Andre Drummond makes 23-foot three point jumper (VJ Edgecombe assists)
·
PHI 108·GS 88
- Q4·3:50
Gui Santos makes driving layup
PHI 105·GS 88
- Q4·4:00
VJ Edgecombe makes 12-foot step back jumpshot
PHI 105·GS 86
Betting line
GS -4.5·O/U 222.5·PHI +145/GS -175
Recap · NBA
hiladelphia 76ers went into Golden State Warriors and beat them, 113–94.
PHI +4.5 cashed (GS lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 222.5 by 15.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599
Draymond GreenGS · FCONT7.593- VJ EdgecombePHI · GTOUCHES66.190
Al HorfordGS · CCONT6.689
Quinten PostGS · CCONT6.388
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · PHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(GS win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(GS win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(GS win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
GS vs PHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Jaylen BrownPHI26.6± 6.3high
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Stephen CurryGS25.2± 8.3high
Rebounds
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
- Jaylen BrownPHI6.1± 2.6high
- VJ EdgecombePHI6.1± 2.7high
Assists
- Draymond GreenGS6.6± 3.0high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Jimmy Butler IIIGS4.8± 1.7high
Blocks
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Al HorfordGS1.1± 1.3high
- Adem BonaPHI1.1± 1.3high
Steals
- De'Anthony MeltonGS1.5± 1.4high
- Jimmy Butler IIIGS1.5± 1.3high
- Stephen CurryGS1.3± 1.2high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
PHI
league avg
GS
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.1%
46.0%
FG%
47.0
46.2%
114.3
PPG
114.9
114.5
24.1
Assists / G
25.0
▶28.8
12.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
15.1