NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+31NY

32-18

132101

WSH

13-36

NBATue, Feb 3FinalSeriesNY leads series 2-0VegasNY -12.5

NY · top performer

Mikal Bridges

G · #25

23.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WSH · top performer

AJ Johnson

G · #4

13.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowNY ↔ WSH

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	27	19	6-11	3-6	4-5	+13	4	2
K. TownsC · #32	26	19	7-16	1-4	4-6	+30	15	3
J. HartG · #3	22	4	1-3	1-3	1-2	+34	7	7
M. BridgesG · #25	26	23	8-10	3-4	4-5	+23	4	5
J. BrunsonG · #11	31	21	7-16	1-6	6-7	+32	1	4
Bench
T. Jemison IIIF · #50	9	0	0-2	—	—	-6	2	1
D. JonesF · #1	9	0	0-1	0-1	—	-6	3	1
M. DiawaraF · #51	4	5	2-2	1-1	—	+4	1	1
A. HukportiC · #55	22	12	5-6	1-2	1-1	+1	9	1
J. ClarksonG · #00	21	12	5-8	1-2	1-1	-3	0	2
L. ShametG · #44	21	14	5-8	4-6	—	+23	0	1
T. KolekG · #13	21	3	1-7	1-2	—	+10	4	6
Team		132	47-90	17-37	21-27		50	34
DNP: G. Yabusele

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. MiddletonF · #22	22	12	5-11	2-4	—	-31	2	2
K. GeorgeF · #18	26	8	3-8	0-1	2-2	-33	2	3
A. SarrC · #20	25	11	4-11	1-3	2-4	-31	9	3
B. CarringtonG · #7	25	14	4-10	3-7	3-6	-30	2	1
B. CoulibalyG · #0	24	3	1-4	1-3	0-2	-30	2	2
Bench
A. GillF · #16	7	0	—	—	—	+2	0	0
M. Bagley IIIF · #35	16	11	4-7	—	3-4	-4	6	1
J. ChampagnieF · #9	20	2	1-7	0-3	0-2	-4	4	0
S. LabissiereC · #17	7	0	0-1	0-1	—	+4	1	1
S. CooperG · #13	19	9	4-8	1-3	—	+4	4	1
W. RileyG · #27	25	17	5-11	2-5	5-6	-1	6	1
AJ JohnsonG · #4	24	14	4-8	1-1	5-6	-1	4	4
Team		101	35-86	11-31	20-32		42	19
DNP: M. Branham

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

47-90

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

35-86

FG %

17-37

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

11-31

21-27

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

20-32

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY leads series 2-0

Nov 4

WSH102@

NY119

Feb 4

NY132@

WSH101today

Mar 22

WSH113@

NY145

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -12.5

Between 10 and —

Total

227.5

Standard · +1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NY-62586%

WSH+45518%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -12.5↗SpreadBet NY -12.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

12.5

0.0 since open

Total

227.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat WSH 132-101. M. Bridges led with 23 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST. NY outscored the other side 38-22 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

WSH vs NY

Starters vs bench

production by unit

NYstarters 65% of pts

Starters(5)

86 PTS · 31 REB · 21 AST

GS 83

Bench(7)

46 PTS · 19 REB · 13 AST

GS 37

WSHstarters 48% of pts

Starters(5)

48 PTS · 17 REB · 11 AST

GS 27

Bench(7)

53 PTS · 25 REB · 8 AST

GS 39

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
NY	38	34	30	30	132
WSH	22	23	26	30	101

Period scoring

NY won 3 · WSH won 0

Anunoby 9

Middleton 7

Towns 14

III 12

Brunson 13

Carrington 8

Clarkson 12

III 11

WSH

Shooting comparison

WSH

52%

47-90

41%

35-86

46%

17-37

3PT

35%

11-31

78%

21-27

63%

20-32

Play-by-play · 486 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 132·WSH 101
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 132·WSH 101
Q4·16.6
AJ Johnson makes 33-foot three point jumper (Skal Labissiere assists)
·
NY 132·WSH 101
Q4·17.5
Skal Labissiere offensive rebound
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·20.4
Will Riley misses 13-foot pullup jump shot
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·29.0
Will Riley defensive rebound
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·33.9
Dillon Jones misses running pullup jump shot
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·37.4
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·40.2
AJ Johnson misses running layup
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·44.7
Ariel Hukporti lost ball turnover (Anthony Gill steals)
·
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·58.4
Will Riley makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 132·WSH 98
Q4·58.4
Will Riley makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 132·WSH 97
Q4·58.4
Dillon Jones personal foul
NY 132·WSH 96
Q4·1:04
Wizards offensive team rebound
NY 132·WSH 96
Q4·1:05
Sharife Cooper misses 22-foot three point jumper
NY 132·WSH 96
Q4·1:20
Jordan Clarkson makes 1-foot layup (Ariel Hukporti assists)
·
NY 132·WSH 96
Q4·1:33
Sharife Cooper makes driving layup
NY 130·WSH 96
Q4·1:43
Jordan Clarkson makes 19-foot pullup jump shot
NY 130·WSH 94
Q4·1:58
Will Riley makes 1-foot running dunk (AJ Johnson assists)
·
NY 128·WSH 94
Q4·1:58
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
NY 128·WSH 92
Q4·2:00
Tyler Kolek misses 14-foot pullup jump shot
NY 128·WSH 92
Q4·2:11
Will Riley personal foul
NY 128·WSH 92
Q4·2:21
Will Riley makes 25-foot three pointer
NY 128·WSH 92
Q4·2:40
Tyler Kolek out of bounds bad pass turnover
NY 128·WSH 89
Q4·2:54
Will Riley makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 128·WSH 89
Q4·2:54
Wizards offensive team rebound
NY 128·WSH 88
Q4·2:54
Will Riley misses free throw 1 of 2
NY 128·WSH 88
Q4·2:54
Knicks Full timeout
NY 128·WSH 88
Q4·2:54
Jordan Clarkson personal foul
NY 128·WSH 88
Q4·3:03
Jordan Clarkson makes two point shot
NY 128·WSH 88

Betting line

NY -12.5·O/U 227.5·NY -625/WSH +455

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks went into Washington Wizards and beat them, 132–101. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -12.5 cashed (won by 31). Total cleared the 227.5 OVER by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Alex SarrWSH · C
CONT9.498
Anthony GillWSH · F
TS%68.297
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Anthony DavisWSH
20.5± 9.2high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high

Rebounds

Anthony DavisWSH
11.3± 4.3high
Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Julian ReeseWSH
10.5± 6.4low

Assists

Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Bub CarringtonWSH
5.1± 1.9high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Anthony DavisWSH
1.7± 1.5high
Alex SarrWSH
1.6± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
1.4± 1.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

WSH

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

53.5%

48.0%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.3%

116.4

PPG

◀

114.9

112.9

27.0

Assists / G

◀

25.0

12.7

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.1

Data via ESPN · hoopR