NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+15PHI

PHI

28-21

128113

LAC

23-26

NBAMon, Feb 2FinalSeriesPHI wins series 2-0VegasPHI -1.5

PHI · top performer

Dominick Barlow

F · #25

30.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

LAC · top performer

Kawhi Leonard

F · #2

25.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPHI ↔ LAC

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 9:12

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. BarlowF · #25	35	26	10-16	1-1	5-5	+7	16	2
J. EmbiidC · #21	32	24	8-19	1-2	7-7	+2	5	3
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	35	15	6-13	3-6	—	+11	3	2
T. MaxeyG · #0	36	29	9-18	7-14	4-4	+22	5	6
V. EdgecombeG · #77	31	5	1-11	1-8	2-2	+5	3	7
Bench
T. WatfordF · #12	11	3	1-2	0-1	1-2	+3	1	1
J. WalkerF · #33	2	0	0-1	—	—	+2	1	1
A. BonaC · #30	16	6	3-4	—	—	+13	3	1
Q. GrimesG · #5	28	14	5-8	2-5	2-2	+4	2	4
J. McCainG · #20	14	6	2-2	2-2	—	+6	2	4
Team		128	45-94	17-39	21-22		41	31
DNP: P. George, J. Edwards, A. Drummond, K. Lowry, E. Gordon

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. LeonardF · #2	31	29	12-21	2-5	3-5	-9	4	6
J. CollinsF · #20	32	15	6-11	2-5	1-4	-6	7	2
I. ZubacC · #40	33	8	3-3	—	2-3	-11	9	2
K. DunnG · #8	27	6	2-6	0-2	2-2	-10	2	6
K. SandersG · #4	34	17	7-10	2-3	1-2	-15	3	3
Bench
N. BatumF · #33	14	0	0-2	0-2	—	-3	2	2
B. LopezC · #11	20	13	5-11	3-6	—	-18	1	1
Y. NiederhauserC · #14	6	2	1-1	—	—	+2	3	0
J. MillerG · #22	28	21	9-10	0-1	3-4	+2	4	2
K. BrownG · #24	4	0	0-1	0-1	—	+1	1	0
C. ChristieG · #12	10	2	1-2	0-1	—	-8	0	0
Team		113	46-78	9-26	12-20		36	24
DNP: B. Bogdanovic

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

LAC

Home

45-94

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

46-78

FG %

17-39

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

9-26

21-22

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-20

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

PHI wins series 2-0

Nov 18

LAC108@

PHI110

Feb 3

PHI128@

LAC113today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHI -1.5

Between — and 5

Total

220.5

Standard · -5.5 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI-11553%

LAC-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗SpreadBet PHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

220.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHI beat LAC 128-113. D. Barlow paced them with 26 PTS, 16 REB, 2 AST. PHI outscored the other side 38-19 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

LAC vs PHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PHIstarters 77% of pts

Starters(5)

99 PTS · 32 REB · 20 AST

GS 86

Bench(5)

29 PTS · 9 REB · 11 AST

GS 29

LACstarters 66% of pts

Starters(5)

75 PTS · 25 REB · 19 AST

GS 63

Bench(6)

38 PTS · 11 REB · 5 AST

GS 24

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
PHI	38	34	28	28	128
LAC	19	34	34	26	113

Period scoring

PHI won 2 · LAC won 1

Maxey 16

Sanders 7

Jr. 8

Leonard 11

Embiid 12

Leonard 9

Maxey 8

Miller 8

PHI

LAC

Shooting comparison

PHI

LAC

48%

45-94

59%

46-78

44%

17-39

3PT

35%

9-26

95%

21-22

60%

12-20

Play-by-play · 447 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 128·LAC 113
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 128·LAC 113
Q4·11.9
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
PHI 128·LAC 113
Q4·16.0
Kobe Brown misses 23-foot three point jumper
PHI 128·LAC 113
Q4·30.1
Yanic Konan Niederhauser defensive goaltending violation
PHI 128·LAC 113
Q4·30.1
Quentin Grimes makes running layup (Jabari Walker assists)
·
PHI 128·LAC 113
Q4·35.6
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
PHI 126·LAC 113
Q4·36.6
Adem Bona blocks Kobe Sanders 's 5-foot driving layup
·
PHI 126·LAC 113
Q4·51.1
Quentin Grimes makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 126·LAC 113
Q4·51.1
Quentin Grimes makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 125·LAC 113
Q4·51.1
Yanic Konan Niederhauser shooting foul
PHI 124·LAC 113
Q4·1:01
Kobe Sanders makes 14-foot two point shot
PHI 124·LAC 113
Q4·1:16
Quentin Grimes makes driving layup (Jared McCain assists)
·
PHI 124·LAC 111
Q4·1:29
Jordan Miller makes 14-foot step back jumpshot
PHI 122·LAC 111
Q4·1:48
Yanic Konan Niederhauser defensive rebound
PHI 122·LAC 109
Q4·1:51
Jabari Walker misses driving floating jump shot
PHI 122·LAC 109
Q4·1:57
Adem Bona offensive rebound
PHI 122·LAC 109
Q4·2:02
Trendon Watford misses 27-foot three point jumper
PHI 122·LAC 109
Q4·2:19
Kobe Sanders makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 122·LAC 109
Q4·2:19
Jabari Walker enters the game for Dominick Barlow
·
PHI 122·LAC 108
Q4·2:19
Clippers offensive team rebound
PHI 122·LAC 108
Q4·2:19
Kobe Sanders misses free throw 1 of 2
PHI 122·LAC 108
Q4·2:19
Trendon Watford personal foul
PHI 122·LAC 108
Q4·2:24
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
PHI 122·LAC 108
Q4·2:30
Quentin Grimes misses 27-foot three point jumper
PHI 122·LAC 108
Q4·2:51
Cam Christie makes 1-foot reverse layup (Kobe Sanders assists)
·
PHI 122·LAC 108
Q4·3:04
Trendon Watford makes 8-foot two point shot (Quentin Grimes assists)
·
PHI 122·LAC 106
Q4·3:17
Adem Bona enters the game for Joel Embiid
·
PHI 120·LAC 106
Q4·3:17
Jared McCain enters the game for Kelly Oubre Jr.
·
PHI 120·LAC 106
Q4·3:17
Trendon Watford enters the game for Tyrese Maxey
·
PHI 120·LAC 106

Betting line

PHI -1.5·O/U 220.5·PHI -115/LAC -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

hiladelphia 76ers went into LA Clippers and beat them, 128–113.

PHI -1.5 cashed (won by 15). Total cleared the 220.5 OVER by 20.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Joel EmbiidPHI · C
USG%34.399
Kawhi LeonardTOR · F
USG%33.399
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC · C
TS%69.198
Ivica ZubacIND · C
CONT9.298

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · PHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAC vs PHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 135 high confidence

Points

Jaylen BrownPHI
26.6± 6.3high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
25.0± 6.5high

Rebounds

Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high
Jaylen BrownPHI
6.1± 2.6high
VJ EdgecombePHI
6.1± 2.7high

Assists

Darius GarlandLAC
6.3± 2.3high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high
Joel EmbiidPHI
4.6± 2.6high

Blocks

Brook LopezLAC
1.3± 1.4high
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC
1.3± 1.5high
Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high

Steals

Kris DunnLAC
1.6± 1.1high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
1.2± 0.9high
Darius GarlandLAC
1.1± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

PHI

league avg

LAC

52.9%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

46.0%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.5%

114.3

PPG

114.9

113.9

24.1

Assists / G

◀

25.0

23.8

12.8

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

13.6

Data via ESPN · hoopR