LAC
23-25
PHX
30-20
LAC · top performer
Kawhi Leonard
F · #2
25
Pts
8
Reb
5
Ast
PHX · top performer
Grayson Allen
G · #8
23
Pts
1
Reb
8
Ast
Biggest swing: 10pp · 2nd Quarter · 9:18
NBA · LA Clippers at Phoenix Suns · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 25 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 6-10 | +6 | 8 | 5 | |
| 28 | 16 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 9 | 2 | |
| 33 | 14 | 5-5 | — | 4-9 | +9 | 20 | 1 | |
| 30 | 8 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | -3 | 5 | 3 | |
| 31 | 12 | 5-9 | 2-4 | — | +16 | 2 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 22 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | — | +16 | 8 | 2 | |
| 21 | 8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | +19 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1-1 | — | 1-1 | +7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 24 | 20 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | +18 | 5 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +7 | 1 | 2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 3-6 | — | — | +25 | 3 | 1 | |
| Team | 117 | 43-83 | 9-24 | 22-34 | 63 | 25 | ||
| DNP: B. Bogdanovic | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 34 | 9 | 3-8 | 3-8 | — | -4 | 4 | 3 | |
| 35 | 22 | 7-20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | -1 | 5 | 1 | |
| 24 | 7 | 3-6 | — | 1-2 | -1 | 7 | 4 | |
| 36 | 23 | 7-21 | 4-13 | 5-6 | -3 | 1 | 8 | |
| 27 | 12 | 4-13 | 4-10 | — | -15 | 4 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 14 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | — | -27 | 1 | 1 | |
| 18 | 4 | 1-3 | — | 2-2 | -19 | 2 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | -17 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | -7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 24 | 12 | 4-9 | 4-7 | — | -6 | 6 | 1 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-4 | — | — | -13 | 1 | 0 | |
| Team | 93 | 31-93 | 19-46 | 12-18 | 35 | 21 | ||
| DNP: N. Hayes-Davis, N. Richards | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
33
25
Ast
21
Team stats
LAC
Away
Stat
PHX
Home
43-83
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
31-93
52
FG %
33
9-24
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
19-46
22-34
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
12-18
25
Assists
21
17
Turnovers
4
Season series
Series tied 2-2
PHX102@LAC129LAC102@PHX115PHX114@LAC103LAC117@PHX93todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHX -2.5
Between — and 5
Total
209.5
Defensive · -16.5 vs avg
Moneyline
LAC+12445%PHX-14860%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
2.5
0.0 since open
Total
209.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LAC beat PHX 117-93. K. Leonard paced them with 25 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST. LAC outscored the other side 32-22 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHX vs LAC
Starters vs bench
production by unitLACstarters 64% of ptsStarters(5)
75 PTS · 44 REB · 15 AST
GS 60
Bench(6)
42 PTS · 19 REB · 10 AST
GS 34
PHXstarters 78% of ptsStarters(5)
73 PTS · 21 REB · 18 AST
GS 50
Bench(7)
20 PTS · 14 REB · 3 AST
GS 13
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactRyan Dunn la · ne violation
Dillon Brooks · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Grayson Allen assists)
Kobe Sanders · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Kawhi Leonard assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 24 | 25 | 36 | 32 | 117 |
| PHX | 20 | 23 | 28 | 22 | 93 |
Period scoring
LAC won 4 · PHX won 0
Q1
Collins 6
Allen 8
Q2
Leonard 10
Brooks 9
Q3
Leonard 7
Gillespie 6
Q4
Miller 10
Brooks 8
Shooting comparison
52%
43-83
FG
33%
31-93
38%
9-24
3PT
41%
19-46
65%
22-34
FT
67%
12-18
Play-by-play · 504 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
LAC 117·PHX 93
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LAC 117·PHX 93
- Q4·14.6
shot clock turnover
LAC 117·PHX 93
- Q4·25.0
Cam Christie defensive rebound
LAC 117·PHX 93
- Q4·27.7
Yanic Konan Niederhauser blocks Ryan Dunn 's 8-foot pullup jump shot
· ·
LAC 117·PHX 93
- Q4·42.1
Kobe Brown makes 2-foot driving dunk (Jordan Miller assists)
·
LAC 117·PHX 93
- Q4·1:03
Jordan Miller defensive rebound
LAC 115·PHX 93
- Q4·1:03
Rasheer Fleming misses 4-foot two point shot
LAC 115·PHX 93
- Q4·1:06
Rasheer Fleming offensive rebound
LAC 115·PHX 93
- Q4·1:09
Jamaree Bouyea misses 19-foot step back jumpshot
LAC 115·PHX 93
- Q4·1:20
Ryan Dunn defensive goaltending violation
·
LAC 115·PHX 93
- Q4·1:20
Cam Christie makes running layup (Kobe Brown assists)
·
LAC 115·PHX 93
- Q4·1:24
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
LAC 113·PHX 93
- Q4·1:27
Isaiah Livers misses 23-foot three point jumper
LAC 113·PHX 93
- Q4·1:41
Khaman Maluach defensive goaltending violation
LAC 113·PHX 93
- Q4·1:41
Yanic Konan Niederhauser makes free throw 1 of 1
LAC 113·PHX 93
- Q4·1:41
Jamaree Bouyea shooting foul
LAC 112·PHX 93
- Q4·1:41
Yanic Konan Niederhauser makes layup (Kobe Brown assists)
·
LAC 112·PHX 93
- Q4·1:52
Yanic Konan Niederhauser defensive rebound
LAC 110·PHX 93
- Q4·1:55
Jamaree Bouyea misses driving floating jump shot
LAC 110·PHX 93
- Q4·2:08
Kobe Brown bad pass turnover (Ryan Dunn steals)
· ·
LAC 110·PHX 93
- Q4·2:13
Rasheer Fleming bad pass turnover (Kobe Brown steals)
·
LAC 110·PHX 93
- Q4·2:17
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
LAC 110·PHX 93
- Q4·2:20
Khaman Maluach blocks Cam Christie 's 3-foot dunk
·
LAC 110·PHX 93
- Q4·2:37
Jamaree Bouyea makes 14-foot driving floating jump shot
LAC 110·PHX 93
- Q4·2:49
Jordan Miller makes driving layup
LAC 110·PHX 91
- Q4·2:57
Cam Christie enters the game for Ivica Zubac
·
LAC 108·PHX 91
- Q4·2:57
Kobe Brown enters the game for Nicolas Batum
·
LAC 108·PHX 91
- Q4·2:57
Kobe Sanders enters the game for John Collins
·
LAC 108·PHX 91
- Q4·2:57
Yanic Konan Niederhauser enters the game for Kris Dunn
· ·
LAC 108·PHX 91
Betting line
PHX -2.5·O/U 209.5·LAC +124/PHX -148
Recap · NBA
A Clippers went into Phoenix Suns and beat them, 117–93. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
LAC +2.5 cashed (PHX lost outright). Total cleared the 209.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 players in cohort- Kawhi LeonardTOR · FUSG%33.399
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC · CTS%69.198
Ivica ZubacIND · CCONT9.298
Kris DunnLAC · GDEFL3.697
Mark WilliamsPHX · CCONT8.496
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · LAC favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHX vs LAC.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
160
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Devin BookerPHX24.6± 6.2high
- Jalen GreenPHX21.0± 10.3high
- Dillon BrooksPHX20.2± 8.1high
Rebounds
- Miles BridgesPHX5.8± 3.6high
- Brook LopezLAC5.5± 2.4high
- Oso IghodaroPHX5.5± 3.2high
Assists
- Darius GarlandLAC6.3± 2.3high
- Devin BookerPHX5.8± 2.3high
- Kris DunnLAC3.8± 2.7high
Blocks
- Brook LopezLAC1.3± 1.4high
- Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC1.3± 1.5high
- Isaiah JacksonLAC1.2± 0.8high
Steals
- Jordan GoodwinPHX1.8± 2.1high
- Kris DunnLAC1.6± 1.1high
- Jalen GreenPHX1.2± 1.3high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
LAC
league avg
PHX
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.7%
48.5%
FG%
47.0
45.5%
113.9
PPG
114.9
112.2
23.8
Assists / G
25.0
▶24.5
13.6
Turnovers / G
14.0
13.6