DET
34-12
PHX
29-19
DET · top performer
Jalen Duren
C · #0
23
Pts
13
Reb
4
Ast
PHX · top performer
Dillon Brooks
F · #3
40
Pts
8
Reb
4
Ast
Biggest swing: 25pp · 3rd Quarter · 6:10
NBA · Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 13 | 5-9 | 3-4 | — | -2 | 5 | 1 | |
| 30 | 9 | 4-11 | 1-6 | — | -3 | 1 | 1 | |
| 28 | 23 | 10-11 | — | 3-3 | -1 | 13 | 4 | |
| 34 | 26 | 8-22 | 2-9 | 8-10 | -5 | 3 | 7 | |
| 25 | 6 | 3-6 | — | — | -3 | 4 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 1-2 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 11 | 4-5 | — | 3-5 | -19 | 2 | 0 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | — | -17 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | — | -13 | 2 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | — | -9 | 2 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | -18 | 3 | 5 | |
| Team | 96 | 37-87 | 6-29 | 16-21 | 37 | 26 | ||
| DNP: M. Sasser | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 10 | 4-8 | 2-5 | — | +3 | 2 | 2 | |
| 33 | 40 | 13-22 | 4-7 | 10-12 | +14 | 8 | 4 | |
| 25 | 6 | 3-5 | — | — | +2 | 5 | 1 | |
| 34 | 24 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 10-10 | +18 | 3 | 5 | |
| 26 | 16 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 1-1 | -1 | 5 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -3 | 2 | 0 | |
| 11 | 1 | — | — | 1-2 | +3 | 5 | 2 | |
| 20 | 6 | 2-3 | — | 2-4 | +19 | 9 | 2 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | — | +5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | — | +21 | 4 | 3 | |
| 20 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-3 | — | +15 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 114 | 37-79 | 16-42 | 24-29 | 47 | 22 | ||
| DNP: N. Richards | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
43
FG %
47
26
Ast
22
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
PHX
Home
37-87
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
37-79
43
FG %
47
6-29
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
16-42
16-21
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
24-29
26
Assists
22
9
Turnovers
15
Season series
Series tied 1-1
PHX105@DET108DET96@PHX114todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
DET -3.5
Between — and 5
Total
214.5
Defensive · -11.5 vs avg
Moneyline
DET-15561%PHX+13043%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
3.5
0.0 since open
Total
214.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
PHX beat DET 114-96. D. Brooks led the way with 40 points and 8 rebounds. PHX outscored the other side 37-25 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHX vs DET
Starters vs bench
production by unitDETstarters 80% of ptsStarters(5)
77 PTS · 26 REB · 19 AST
GS 67
Bench(8)
19 PTS · 11 REB · 7 AST
GS 7
PHXstarters 84% of ptsStarters(5)
96 PTS · 23 REB · 14 AST
GS 73
Bench(8)
18 PTS · 24 REB · 8 AST
GS 18
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJavonte Green · shooting foul
Grayson Allen · makes 27-foot three point jumper (Dillon Brooks assists)
Cade Cunningham · loose ball foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 31 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 96 |
| PHX | 35 | 37 | 21 | 21 | 114 |
Period scoring
DET won 1 · PHX won 3
Q1
Duren 10
Allen 12
Q2
Cunningham 7
Brooks 15
Q3
Cunningham 9
Brooks 14
Q4
Robinson 4
Gillespie 25
Shooting comparison
43%
37-87
FG
47%
37-79
21%
6-29
3PT
38%
16-42
76%
16-21
FT
83%
24-29
Play-by-play · 478 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DET 96·PHX 114
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DET 96·PHX 114
- Q4·5.8
shot clock turnover
DET 96·PHX 114
- Q4·28.0
Nigel Hayes-Davis defensive rebound
DET 96·PHX 114
- Q4·30.5
Paul Reed misses driving layup
DET 96·PHX 114
- Q4·40.8
Jamaree Bouyea out of bounds lost ball turnover
DET 96·PHX 114
- Q4·1:00
Daniss Jenkins makes free throw 2 of 2
DET 96·PHX 114
- Q4·1:00
Pistons offensive team rebound
DET 95·PHX 114
- Q4·1:00
Daniss Jenkins misses free throw 1 of 2
DET 95·PHX 114
- Q4·1:00
Khaman Maluach shooting foul
DET 95·PHX 114
- Q4·1:09
Khaman Maluach offensive foul turnover
DET 95·PHX 114
- Q4·1:09
Khaman Maluach offensive foul
DET 95·PHX 114
- Q4·1:18
Paul Reed makes 14-foot jumper (Ronald Holland II assists)
·
DET 95·PHX 114
- Q4·1:27
Bobi Klintman defensive rebound
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·1:31
Rasheer Fleming misses 25-foot three point jumper
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·1:41
Nigel Hayes-Davis defensive rebound
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·1:44
Daniss Jenkins misses 19-foot pullup jump shot
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·1:55
Rasheer Fleming bad pass turnover (Paul Reed steals)
·
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:10
Isaiah Livers defensive rebound
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:11
Bobi Klintman misses 7-foot floating jump shot
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:18
Khaman Maluach enters the game for Mark Williams
·
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:18
Nigel Hayes-Davis enters the game for Collin Gillespie
·
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:18
Rasheer Fleming enters the game for Grayson Allen
·
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:18
Isaiah Livers enters the game for Dillon Brooks
·
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:18
Jamaree Bouyea enters the game for Royce O'Neale
·
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:18
Royce O'Neale personal foul
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:24
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:27
Grayson Allen misses 23-foot three point jumper
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:47
Mark Williams defensive rebound
DET 93·PHX 114
- Q4·2:50
Chaz Lanier misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
DET 93·PHX 114
Betting line
DET -3.5·O/U 214.5·DET -155/PHX +130
Recap · NBA
hoenix Suns held off Detroit Pistons, 114–96.
PHX +3.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 214.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 12 players in cohort
Cade CunninghamDET · GTOUCHES9799+- Jalen DurenDET · CTS%68.898
Ausar ThompsonDET · GDEFL3.596
Mark WilliamsPHX · CCONT8.496- Dillon BrooksPHX · FUSG%28.694
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · DET favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHX vs DET.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Cade CunninghamDET26.1± 9.6high
- Devin BookerPHX24.6± 6.2high
- Jalen GreenPHX21.0± 10.3high
Rebounds
- Jalen DurenDET9.1± 3.9high
- John CollinsDET5.8± 2.5high
- Miles BridgesPHX5.8± 3.6high
Assists
- Cade CunninghamDET8.2± 2.8high
- Devin BookerPHX5.8± 2.3high
- Daniss JenkinsDET3.5± 1.0high
Blocks
- Jalen DurenDET1.0± 1.1high
- Paul ReedDET0.9± 1.3high
- Oso IghodaroPHX0.8± 0.7high
Steals
- Jordan GoodwinPHX1.8± 2.1high
- Cade CunninghamDET1.4± 1.2high
- Duncan RobinsonDET1.2± 1.7high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
DET
league avg
PHX
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.7%
48.0%
FG%
47.0
45.5%
115.9
PPG
114.9
112.2
27.0
Assists / G
25.0
24.5
14.3
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶13.6