LAC
22-24
UTAH
15-32
LAC · top performer
James Harden
G · #1
16
Pts
3
Reb
10
Ast
UTAH · top performer
Kyle Anderson
F · #2
12
Pts
3
Reb
5
Ast
Biggest swing: 9pp · 1st Quarter · 5:21
NBA · LA Clippers at Utah Jazz · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 21 | 9-18 | 3-7 | — | +24 | 7 | 4 | |
| 23 | 11 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | +10 | 2 | 1 | |
| 22 | 9 | 4-6 | — | 1-2 | +7 | 7 | 3 | |
| 31 | 16 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 3-4 | +5 | 3 | 10 | |
| 31 | 14 | 6-10 | 2-4 | — | +15 | 2 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 21 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 20 | 14 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | +13 | 5 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -8 | 0 | 0 | |
| 25 | 11 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 7-10 | +6 | 4 | 3 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | — | -8 | 1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | — | +4 | 5 | 3 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | — | -8 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team | 115 | 41-88 | 18-46 | 15-21 | 39 | 27 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 24 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | — | -20 | 11 | 1 | |
| 29 | 19 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 6-7 | -12 | 5 | 4 | |
| 25 | 11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | -17 | 2 | 0 | |
| 29 | 12 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | +1 | 4 | 9 | |
| 29 | 20 | 8-16 | 4-9 | — | -12 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 25 | 12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | +7 | 3 | 5 | |
| 24 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | +8 | 10 | 2 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 | — | -15 | 1 | 2 | |
| 25 | 13 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | +13 | 1 | 3 | |
| 19 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | — | -13 | 2 | 2 | |
| Team | 103 | 37-82 | 12-33 | 17-21 | 40 | 28 | ||
| DNP: S. Mykhailiuk, K. George | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
47
FG %
45
27
Ast
28
Team stats
LAC
Away
Stat
UTAH
Home
41-88
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
37-82
47
FG %
45
18-46
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
12-33
15-21
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-21
27
Assists
28
11
Turnovers
15
Season series
LAC win series 2-1
LAC108@UTAH129UTAH101@LAC118LAC115@UTAH103todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAC -8.5
Between 7 and 10
Total
234.5
High-scoring · +8.5 vs avg
Moneyline
LAC-34077%UTAH+27027%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
8.5
0.0 since open
Total
234.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LAC beat UTAH 115-103. J. Harden led with 16 PTS, 3 REB, 10 AST. LAC outscored the other side 36-20 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
UTAH vs LAC
Starters vs bench
production by unitLACstarters 62% of ptsStarters(5)
71 PTS · 21 REB · 20 AST
GS 60
Bench(7)
44 PTS · 18 REB · 7 AST
GS 36
UTAHstarters 63% of ptsStarters(5)
65 PTS · 23 REB · 14 AST
GS 50
Bench(5)
38 PTS · 17 REB · 14 AST
GS 31
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactIsaiah Collier · makes 4-foot two point shot
Ivica Zubac · misses driving floating jump shot
Cody Williams · shooting foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 18 | 35 | 36 | 26 | 115 |
| UTAH | 29 | 25 | 20 | 29 | 103 |
Period scoring
LAC won 2 · UTAH won 2
Q1
Collins 5
Bailey 7
Q2
Leonard 11
Markkanen 9
Q3
Dunn 9
Markkanen 7
Q4
Miller 9
Sensabaugh 11
Shooting comparison
47%
41-88
FG
45%
37-82
39%
18-46
3PT
36%
12-33
71%
15-21
FT
81%
17-21
Play-by-play · 456 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
LAC 115·UTAH 103
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LAC 115·UTAH 103
- Q4·14.9
Isaiah Collier makes free throw 2 of 2
LAC 115·UTAH 103
- Q4·14.9
Isaiah Collier makes free throw 1 of 2
LAC 115·UTAH 102
- Q4·14.9
Kobe Sanders shooting foul
LAC 115·UTAH 101
- Q4·23.1
Kobe Sanders makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jordan Miller assists)
·
LAC 115·UTAH 101
- Q4·46.6
Brice Sensabaugh makes two point shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
·
LAC 112·UTAH 101
- Q4·49.3
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
LAC 112·UTAH 99
- Q4·52.3
Cam Christie misses two point shot
LAC 112·UTAH 99
- Q4·1:04
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
LAC 112·UTAH 99
- Q4·1:09
Jordan Miller misses free throw 2 of 2
LAC 112·UTAH 99
- Q4·1:09
Jordan Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
LAC 112·UTAH 99
- Q4·1:09
Isaiah Collier shooting foul
LAC 111·UTAH 99
- Q4·1:30
Brice Sensabaugh makes running layup (Kyle Filipowski assists)
·
LAC 111·UTAH 99
- Q4·1:33
Kobe Sanders bad pass turnover (Kyle Filipowski steals)
·
LAC 111·UTAH 97
- Q4·1:56
Ace Bailey makes 22-foot three point jumper (Kyle Anderson assists)
·
LAC 111·UTAH 97
- Q4·2:14
Kobe Sanders makes two point shot
LAC 111·UTAH 94
- Q4·2:15
Kobe Sanders offensive rebound
LAC 109·UTAH 94
- Q4·2:17
Cam Christie misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
LAC 109·UTAH 94
- Q4·2:25
Cam Christie offensive rebound
LAC 109·UTAH 94
- Q4·2:29
Kobe Brown misses 25-foot three point jumper
LAC 109·UTAH 94
- Q4·2:44
Isaiah Collier makes free throw 2 of 2
LAC 109·UTAH 94
- Q4·2:44
Isaiah Collier makes free throw 1 of 2
LAC 109·UTAH 93
- Q4·2:44
Yanic Konan Niederhauser shooting foul
LAC 109·UTAH 92
- Q4·2:55
Jordan Miller makes free throw 2 of 2
LAC 109·UTAH 92
- Q4·2:55
Jordan Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
LAC 108·UTAH 92
- Q4·2:55
Kyle Filipowski shooting foul
LAC 107·UTAH 92
- Q4·3:15
Kyle Anderson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Collier assists)
·
LAC 107·UTAH 92
- Q4·3:23
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
LAC 107·UTAH 89
- Q4·3:27
Yanic Konan Niederhauser misses 23-foot three point jumper
LAC 107·UTAH 89
Betting line
LAC -8.5·O/U 234.5·LAC -340/UTAH +270
Recap · NBA
A Clippers went into Utah Jazz and beat them, 115–103.
LAC -8.5 cashed (won by 12). Total stayed UNDER 234.5 by 16.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Kawhi LeonardTOR · FUSG%33.399
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC · CTS%69.198
Ivica ZubacIND · CCONT9.298
Kris DunnLAC · GDEFL3.697
Brook LopezLAC · CCONT8.396
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · LAC favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
UTAH vs LAC.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
155
projections · 130 high confidence
Points
- Lauri MarkkanenUTAH24.2± 5.0high
- Keyonte GeorgeUTAH21.4± 8.8high
- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH20.7± 4.8high
Rebounds
- Jusuf NurkicUTAH11.4± 4.1high
- Oscar TshiebweUTAH8.5± 5.5high
- Kyle FilipowskiUTAH8.1± 2.6high
Assists
- Isaiah CollierUTAH6.6± 2.5high
- Kennedy ChandlerUTAH6.5± 2.2medium
- Darius GarlandLAC6.3± 2.3high
Blocks
- Brook LopezLAC1.3± 1.4high
- Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC1.3± 1.5high
- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH1.3± 1.3high
Steals
- Bez MbengUTAH2.5± 1.7medium
- John KoncharUTAH1.9± 1.7high
- Kris DunnLAC1.6± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
LAC
league avg
UTAH
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.6%
48.5%
FG%
47.0
46.7%
113.9
PPG
114.9
▶117.6
23.8
Assists / G
25.0
▶29.6
13.6
Turnovers / G
14.0
15.0