MLBTop 6
PIT 1@PHI 1
-11.9pppeak
MLBBot 1
CIN 1@MIL 0
-21.8ppmedium
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. Swanson (CHC): 3 H · 3 HR · 8 RBI in a win over SD — Standout Index 98
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Conforto (CHC): 3 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over SD — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBT. Bradley (MIN): 5.0 IP · 11 K · 1 ER in a win over HOU
TRANSACTION · MLBBraves: Agreed to terms with OF Luis Consoro on a minor league contract (Jul 1)
TRANSACTION · MLBRoyals: Placed RHP Connor Seabold on the 15-day IL (Jul 1)
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Agreed to terms with SS Ryan McCarty on a minor league contract (Jul 1)
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL
GS

GS

37-45

00
MIN

MIN

49-33

NBASat, Jan 24FinalSeriesMIN leads series 1-0VegasMIN -5.5

NBA · Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves · final

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Postponed

No player stats available yet.

Season series

MIN leads series 1-0

Dec 13MINMIN127@GSGS120
Jan 24GSGS0@MINMIN0today
Jan 25GSGS111@MINMIN85
Jan 27GSGS83@MINMIN108
Mar 14MINMIN127@GSGS117

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -5.5

Half-pt above key 5

Total

237.5

High-scoring · +11.5 vs avg

Moneyline

GSGS+18036%
MINMIN-21869%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -5.5↗SpreadBet MIN -5.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

0.0 since open

Total

237.5

0.0 since open

Betting line

MIN -5.5·O/U 237.5·GS +180/MIN -218

DraftKings · via ESPN

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · GS favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    34%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIN vs GS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

  • Stephen CurryGS
    25.2± 8.3high
  • Anthony EdwardsMIN
    23.7± 9.4high
  • LaMelo BallMIN
    22.2± 8.0high

Rebounds

  • Rudy GobertMIN
    10.1± 3.9high
  • Kristaps PorzingisGS
    5.6± 2.4high
  • Jimmy Butler IIIGS
    5.4± 1.6high

Assists

  • LaMelo BallMIN
    7.3± 2.5high
  • Draymond GreenGS
    6.6± 3.0high
  • Jimmy Butler IIIGS
    4.8± 1.7high

Blocks

  • Rudy GobertMIN
    1.4± 1.2high
  • Al HorfordGS
    1.1± 1.3high
  • Joan BeringerMIN
    1.1± 2.1high

Steals

  • De'Anthony MeltonGS
    1.5± 1.4high
  • Jimmy Butler IIIGS
    1.5± 1.3high
  • Stephen CurryGS
    1.3± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

GS

GS

league avg

MIN

MIN

55.1%

Effective FG%

54.4

55.1%

46.2%

FG%

47.0

▶

47.6%

114.5

PPG

114.9

▶

116.8

28.8

Assists / G

◀

25.0

25.7

15.1

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

14.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR