Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 15, 2026

FINAL+6SF

MIL

9-12

16-6-1

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

9,418 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 88 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Luis ArraezSF
1.2± 0.9high

Total bases

Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high
Casey SchmittSF
2.0± 2.3high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high

RBIs

William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high
Andrew VaughnMIL
0.6± 1.0high

Earned runs

Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low
Trevor McDonaldSF
2.8± 2.5low
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

.730

OPS

.718

.725

.337

OBP

◀

.319

.308

5.16

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

3.41

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.31

1.18

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.36

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

MIL 1 · SF 7 (by 6)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1
SF	0	6	0	0	0	1	0	0	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. FrelickRF	.189	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Bauers1B	.440	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. YelichDH	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. MitchellCF	.095	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. Rengifo3B	.214	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Hamilton3B	.243	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. PerkinsCF	.259	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. McGuireC	.150	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. PrattSS	.259	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
B. Burke1B	.333	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. AndersonCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. LaraCF	.273	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jon Adams3B	.111	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. MurraySS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HurtubiseLF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	1	1	1	0	1	11

Player

.189

.440

.125

.095

.214

.243

.259

.150

.259

.333

.000

.273

.111

.333

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. DrohanRP	4.0	6	4	3	2	5	81
K. BowmanRP	0.2	1	2	0	3	1	32
J. WaguespackRP	1.1	1	1	1	1	1	22
D. HallRP	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	16
E. McGeeSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15
Team	8.0	11	7	4	6	9	166

Player

4.0

0.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

166

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. AdamesSS	.108	3	0	0	1	0	0	2
M. Chapman3B	.448	3	1	3	0	0	0	0
P. BaileyC	.269	3	1	0	0	0	1	1
L. MatosRF	.289	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
G. McCrayCF	.267	2	1	2	0	0	1	0
B. EldridgeDH	.250	2	1	1	1	0	2	1
J. EncarnacionRF	.302	3	1	1	3	1	0	0
C. Koss2B	.429	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
C. SchmittLF	.289	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
O. BasabeSS	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Fitzgerald2B	.206	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. RodríguezC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Kennedy1B	.304	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. BrennanLF	.379	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Furman2B	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. BericotoRF	.441	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. OlivaCF	.355	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. Holton1B	.265	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		31	7	11	5	1	6	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. RaySP	5.0	0	0	0	0	8	64
C. SeymourRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	16
T. BeckRP	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	12
M. GageRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. SantosRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	19
Team	9.0	1	1	1	1	11	112

Team

MIL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs MIL.