Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 15, 2026

FINAL+2LAD

TEX

13-10

LAD

15-7

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

9,767 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs TEX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.7± 2.1medium
Jacob deGromTEX
6.6± 2.5medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium

Hits

Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.2± 1.2high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.1± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.6high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Kyle TuckerLAD
0.7± 1.5high
Jake BurgerTEX
0.7± 1.0high

Earned runs

Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium
Roki SasakiLAD
2.7± 2.6low
Jacob deGromTEX
2.6± 2.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

TEX

league avg

LAD

.711

OPS

.718

▶

.784

.320

OBP

.319

▶

.345

4.05

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.27

3.96

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.43

1.24

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.11

8.7

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

TEX 3 · LAD 5 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TEX	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3
LAD	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. PedersonDH	.172	4	0	1	0	0	0	3
A. McCutchenDH	.583	3	1	1	0	0	1	2
S. HaggertyLF	.355	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. CanhaLF	.324	4	1	2	2	1	0	1
A. OsunaLF	.304	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
T. Wade2B	.414	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. Foscue2B	.444	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Bride3B	.206	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HerreraC	.276	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Pratto1B	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. BlancoCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. VelazquezSS	.115	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. TorresRF	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CauleySS	.282	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. JonesLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. MartinSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. MooreC	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		31	3	6	3	1	3	10

Player

.172

.583

.355

.324

.304

.414

.444

.206

.276

.125

.000

.115

.111

.282

.000

.333

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. SupakSP	4.0	4	2	2	0	2	51
C. MartinRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	7
M. ChurchRP	1.0	2	2	1	0	1	19
L. CurveloRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11
G. CollyerRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	17
Team	8.0	7	5	4	0	6	105

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

105

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.353	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
K. TuckerRF	.235	2	1	1	2	1	0	0
F. Freeman1B	.391	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. HernándezLF	.471	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.346	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. PagesCF	.400	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
A. Freeland2B	.118	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
Z. HopeCF	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
E. AlfonzoC	.240	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. MillerSS	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. SirotaCF	.500	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
C. DavalanOF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
K. Nevin3B	.333	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
L. Wagner3B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. QuinteroCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Senzel3B	.276	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. RodriguezC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	5	7	4	1	0	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Ri. RyanSP	4.0	4	1	1	1	5	48
Ry. RyanRP	2.2	2	2	2	2	3	53
P. GervaseRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	16
E. HenriquezRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12
Team	9.0	6	3	3	3	10	129

Team

TEX

LAD

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs TEX.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs TEX.