Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 15, 2026

FINAL+6CLE

ATH

11-13

612

CLE

11-11-1

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

4,706 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CLE favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CLE vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Parker MessickCLE
6.3± 2.4medium
Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low

Hits

Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.0± 1.0high
Jacob WilsonATH
1.0± 0.6high

Total bases

Travis BazzanaCLE
1.9± 3.1high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.6± 1.9high
Jacob WilsonATH
1.5± 1.7high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

CLE

.736

OPS

◀

.718

.676

.327

OBP

◀

.319

.312

4.61

Runs / G

◀

4.50

3.94

4.93

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.76

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.26

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CLE wins

ATH 6 · CLE 12 (by 6)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	6
CLE	4	2	0	0	0	4	2	0	12

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. Gelof3B	.357	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
C. ThomasRF	.250	4	2	2	1	1	0	1
A. WynnsC	.310	4	0	2	0	0	0	2
M. Muncy3B	.410	4	0	1	2	0	0	0
A. Ibanez2B	.310	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. MarloweOF	.326	4	1	1	1	1	0	0
T. White3B	.441	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Stefanic2B	.485	3	1	3	0	0	0	0
L. De VriesSS	.409	4	1	2	2	1	0	0
R. LaskoCF	.174	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. WallachC	.100	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Meneses1B	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. GuedezOF	.571	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. RamosOF	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. NaylorSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Swift3B	.714	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		41	6	15	6	3	1	8

Player

.357

.250

.310

.410

.310

.326

.441

.485

.409

.174

.100

.500

.571

.333

.000

.714

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. LinP	1.1	5	6	6	2	2	44
D. RoblesSP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	6
J. PerkinsRP	2.2	2	0	0	2	0	46
M. KrookRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	12
Z. TaylorP	1.1	6	6	6	0	1	46
S. EmanuelsRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
J. GonzalezRP	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	21
Team	8.0	15	12	12	5	7	179

Player

1.1

0.1

2.2

0.2

1.1

0.1

1.1

Team

8.0

179

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KwanCF	.267	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
G. AriasSS	.321	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
J. Ramirez3B	.233	2	0	1	2	0	0	1
C. DeLauterRF	.400	4	1	2	2	0	0	1
R. Hoskins1B	.222	2	2	1	2	1	2	0
D. FryRF	.111	4	1	1	3	1	0	0
C. KayfusLF	.185	3	1	2	1	1	1	1
S. FairchildRF	.308	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
T. Bazzana2B	.286	4	1	2	0	0	0	1
H. SilvaLF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. Martinez2B	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
C. Kieboom3B	.143	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
P. DalmagroC	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. De La CruzOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. NunezC	.300	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Y. LuisCF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. AriasOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. HoweSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		38	12	15	12	4	5	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BibeeSP	5.2	13	6	6	0	5	85
C. HoldermanRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	18
C. SmithRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12
E. SabrowskiRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	16
Team	9.0	15	6	6	1	8	131

Team

ATH

CLE

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CLE vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CLE vs ATH.