Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 14, 2026

FINAL+1ARI

ARI

10-12

15-6-1

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

10,193 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs ARI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low
Tyler MahleSF
5.2± 2.1low

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Luis ArraezSF
1.2± 0.9high
Corbin CarrollARI
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Ketel MarteARI
2.4± 1.7high
Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high
Corbin CarrollARI
2.0± 2.1high

RBIs

Corbin CarrollARI
0.8± 1.7high
Ildemaro VargasARI
0.7± 1.2high
Ketel MarteARI
0.7± 0.8high

Earned runs

Zac GallenARI
4.0± 2.2medium
Merrill KellyARI
3.4± 2.8low
Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ARI

league avg

.692

OPS

.718

▶

.725

.307

OBP

.319

.308

4.22

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

4.33

Team ERA

4.17

4.31

1.30

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.36

7.0

K / 9

8.5

▶

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ARI wins

ARI 8 · SF 7 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ARI	0	0	0	2	0	4	1	1	0	8
SF	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	0	7

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CarrollRF	.167	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. LawlarLF	.278	5	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. TawaLF	.303	3	3	2	0	0	1	0
J. McCannC	.167	4	1	2	0	0	0	2
L. Baker1B	.273	3	2	1	2	1	1	0
J. AmayaSS	.281	4	1	2	5	1	0	0
C. Torin2B	.222	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. OrtizOF	.231	4	1	1	1	1	0	2
A. Owusu-AsieduCF	.333	3	0	2	0	0	1	1
Y. NinSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Valdez3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. CatuyCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. VirahondaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Marte1B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. AlpuriaOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Walters2B	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. BenuaCF	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. ClarkSS	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		37	8	11	8	3	4	7

Player

.167

.278

.303

.167

.273

.281

.222

.231

.333

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.333

.500

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. GallenSP	2.2	7	3	3	0	1	55
A. MorilloRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. GinkelRP	0.2	4	4	4	0	0	27
Z. RussellRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. RossRP	2.0	2	0	0	0	2	23
R. ThompsonRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	14
J. MorilloRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10
L. MercadoRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	20
Team	9.0	16	7	7	1	5	154

Player

2.2

0.1

0.2

0.1

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

154

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. RodríguezC	.345	4	1	2	1	0	0	1
R. Devers1B	.095	3	2	2	3	1	0	1
W. AdamesSS	.118	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. SchmittLF	.306	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
W. BrennanLF	.379	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
D. SusacC	.345	3	1	2	1	1	0	0
V. BericotoRF	.424	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
C. Koss2B	.423	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
J. Holton1B	.273	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
L. MatosRF	.294	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Kennedy1B	.304	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. OlivaCF	.367	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. BasabeSS	.417	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Furman2B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. Harber3B	.357	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Z. ZielinskiSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. EldridgeDH	.235	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. HaaseC	.231	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
G. McCrayCF	.214	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Fitzgerald2B	.188	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. GavelloC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. EncarnacionRF	.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		39	7	16	7	2	1	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. HouserSP	5.0	4	2	2	1	6	73
K. WinnRP	0.0	2	4	4	2	0	20
S. BivensRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	9
J. LucchesiRP	1.0	3	1	1	0	0	15
M. FulmerRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	11
R.J. DabovichRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	11
Team	9.0	11	8	8	4	7	139

Team

ARI

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs ARI.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs ARI.