Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 14, 2026

FINAL+4MIL

COL

10-10-1

MIL

9-11

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

6,140 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 98 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Robert GasserMIL
5.2± 2.2low

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high
William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

MIL

.739

OPS

◀

.718

.730

.324

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.61

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

5.47

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.41

1.51

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

7.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

COL 4 · MIL 8 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4
MIL	0	4	0	0	3	0	0	1	8

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FreemanRF	.316	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
C. CarriggCF	.385	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. BeckLF	.314	2	1	2	2	1	1	0
T. Rumfield1B	.364	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
R. Ritter2B	.357	4	0	2	0	0	0	2
C. Stevens2B	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. CondonOF	.382	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. SullivanC	.429	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. MachinSS	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. HillRF	.375	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HumphreyCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. BernardOF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
A. PerezSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HinderleiderSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. BetancourtC	.125	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
E. Hedges2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	4	8	4	1	3	9

Player

.316

.385

.314

.364

.357

.200

.382

.429

.167

.375

.000

.000

.000

.000

.125

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. AgnosRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13
V. VodnikRP	0.2	3	4	4	2	2	30
Z. HarrisRP	0.1	1	0	0	1	0	17
V. BellozoRP	4.2	3	3	2	1	2	66
T. ShookSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
P. MushinskiRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	16
Team	8.0	10	8	7	4	6	146

Player

1.0

0.2

0.1

4.2

0.1

1.0

Team

8.0

146

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. FrelickRF	.206	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. OrtizSS	.429	4	1	2	2	1	0	0
C. YelichDH	.154	2	1	0	0	0	2	2
J. Bauers1B	.500	2	2	1	1	0	1	0
G. SanchezC	.235	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. LockridgeLF	.269	3	2	1	1	1	1	0
D. Hamilton3B	.265	3	1	1	4	1	0	0
B. PerkinsCF	.280	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. WilliamsSS	.333	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
L. LaraCF	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. ZamoraSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Wilken3B	.211	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HurtubiseLF	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. Bitonti3B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. RagsdaleOF	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. DickinsonSS	.200	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		33	8	10	8	3	4	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. MisiorowskiSP	4.0	4	2	2	2	6	70
B. SproatSP	4.2	4	2	2	0	3	65
J. KoenigRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	10
Team	9.0	8	4	4	3	9	145

Team

COL

MIL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs COL.