Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 14, 2026

FINAL+4LAA

SEA

5-16-1

LAA

11-12

Tempe Diablo Stadium · Tempe, Arizona

9,696 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 95 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high
Josh NaylorSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.8± 1.5high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.7± 1.2medium
Jorge SolerLAA
0.6± 0.8high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

LAA

.695

OPS

.718

▶

.716

.313

OBP

.319

▶

.318

4.02

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.54

3.72

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.59

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.40

8.9

K / 9

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

SEA 2 · LAA 6 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2
LAA	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	2	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. RoblesRF	.103	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Young2B	.289	5	0	2	1	0	0	0
C. JoeRF	.314	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
L. RaleyRF	.214	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
B. DavisCF	.353	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PeredaC	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Rivas3B	.250	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
C. Emerson3B	.250	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
R. ThomasLF	.438	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. FarmeloOF	.222	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. Suisbel1B	.300	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
J. ReetzC	.111	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. PicolloOF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
A. KniznerC	.150	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Rodden2B	.407	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Hood2B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		34	2	8	2	1	4	13

Player

.103

.289

.314

.214

.353

.111

.250

.250

.438

.222

.300

.111

.000

.150

.407

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. GilbertSP	2.2	6	2	2	2	5	66
W. Lunsford-ShenkmanRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	8
J. KingsburyRP	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	21
C. WilcoxRP	1.0	2	2	2	2	1	23
Y. ZuluetaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9
M. RuckerRP	0.2	2	2	2	1	0	20
N. DavilaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team	8.0	11	6	6	5	10	149

Player

L. GilbertSP

2.2

W. Lunsford-ShenkmanRP

0.2

1.2

1.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

Team

8.0

149

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.241	2	0	0	1	0	1	2
M. TroutCF	.207	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
Y. Moncada3B	.077	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. SolerDH	.360	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Schanuel1B	.259	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. AdellRF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. LoweLF	.100	3	0	0	0	0	1	3
L. O'HoppeC	.294	2	2	2	1	0	1	0
O. Peraza2B	.351	3	1	2	0	0	0	1
Y. Sanchez3B	.350	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
G. CamperoC	.400	1	0	1	2	0	1	0
A. Frazier2B	.368	2	0	1	2	0	0	0
W. MecklerLF	.214	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Mancini1B	.100	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.303	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. RiveroC	.250	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. Candelario3B	.258	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	6	11	6	0	5	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. UrenaSP	3.0	2	0	0	1	4	46
B. SuterRP	2.0	3	1	1	0	3	35
S. BachmanRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
K. OrtRP	1.2	2	1	1	2	2	39
N. VictorRP	1.1	1	0	0	1	2	27
Team	9.0	8	2	2	4	13	160

Team

SEA

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs SEA.