Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 14, 2026

FINAL+9ATL

BOS

9-11

110

ATL

14-5-2

CoolToday Park · North Port, Florida

7,473 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · ATL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATL vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 83 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chris SaleATL
7.7± 1.9medium
Ranger SuarezBOS
6.1± 3.1medium
Connelly EarlyBOS
5.8± 2.2medium

Hits

Caleb DurbinBOS
1.3± 0.8high
Mauricio DubonATL
1.2± 0.8high
Matt OlsonATL
1.1± 1.2high

Total bases

Caleb DurbinBOS
2.1± 2.1high
Mauricio DubonATL
2.0± 1.6high
Matt OlsonATL
1.7± 1.5high

RBIs

Rowdy TellezATL
0.7± 1.4low
Tsung-Che ChengBOS
0.7± 0.8low
Ozzie AlbiesATL
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Bryce ElderATL
3.1± 2.8medium
Connelly EarlyBOS
2.4± 2.3medium
Grant HolmesATL
2.1± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BOS

league avg

ATL

.697

OPS

.718

▶

.720

.312

OBP

.319

.311

4.00

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.76

3.70

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.41

1.24

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.21

8.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATL wins

BOS 1 · ATL 10 (by 9)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7	10

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WardCF	.361	2	0	0	1	0	1	1
C. RafaelaCF	.313	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. ThaissC	.190	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. MonasterioSS	.310	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
N. Sogard3B	.086	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. HickeyC	.167	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
V. Capra3B	.087	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
T. ChengSS	.091	1	0	0	0	0	2	1
A. CastroCF	.273	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. RomeroSS	.263	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. McDonoughOF	.280	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. RosarioC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Ferguson2B	.227	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Anderson3B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. TuckerLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. RosierRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. RoseOF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. KingCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		29	1	3	1	0	6	9

Player

.361

.313

.190

.310

.086

.167

.087

.091

.273

.263

.280

.000

.227

1.000

.000

.000

.333

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BelloSP	5.0	4	0	0	0	7	67
T. UberstineRP	2.1	4	4	4	2	4	54
M. SansoneRP	0.0	6	6	5	0	0	25
C. AdamsRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	9
Team	8.0	14	10	9	2	12	155

Player

5.0

2.1

0.0

0.2

Team

8.0

155

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. Albies2B	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. BaldwinC	.308	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
M. Olson1B	.290	3	1	2	2	1	0	1
A. Riley3B	.385	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. YastrzemskiLF	.400	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. SmithDH	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. WhiteRF	.370	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
M. Harris IICF	.320	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. DubonSS	.296	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Kilpatrick Jr.CF	.500	1	1	1	2	0	0	0
D. McIntyreOF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. CamargoC	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Compton1B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. WaddellSS	.300	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
P. ClohisyCF	.286	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. Ogans3B	.333	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
E. WorkingerLF	.500	1	2	1	2	0	0	0
J. MateoSS	.172	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
J. JarvisSS	.188	2	1	2	1	0	0	0
Team		37	10	14	9	1	2	12

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ElderSP	5.0	1	1	1	2	6	78
A. PopeRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	24
J. KarinchakRP	0.2	0	0	0	2	0	27
S. StricklandRP	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	16
I. GallegosRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	15
Team	9.0	3	1	1	6	9	160

Team

BOS

ATL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATL vs BOS.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATL vs BOS.