Kansas City Royals vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 14, 2026

FINAL+11ATH

7-14-1

112

ATH

11-12

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

7,020 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · ATH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs KC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low
Noah CameronKC
5.1± 2.5medium
J.T. GinnATH
5.0± 2.7medium

Hits

Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.2± 1.2high
Carter JensenKC
1.2± 0.7high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.0± 1.0high

Total bases

Jac CaglianoneKC
2.5± 3.4high
Carter JensenKC
2.0± 1.7high
Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.9± 1.9high

RBIs

Jac CaglianoneKC
0.8± 1.3high
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Carter JensenKC
0.7± 0.8high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Seth LugoKC
2.9± 2.4medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

ATH

.707

OPS

.718

▶

.736

.316

OBP

.319

▶

.327

4.20

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.61

4.83

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.93

1.43

WHIP

1.31

1.43

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

KC 1 · ATH 12 (by 11)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
ATH	1	1	1	2	0	0	2	5	12

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Loftin2B	.286	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. Rojas3B	.258	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. DiazC	.571	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
K. MisnerCF	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. VazquezSS	.273	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
P. Wilson2B	.136	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
C. KaiserSS	.280	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. RoccaforteCF	.188	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. BrownC	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. DickersonSS	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
O. HernandezC	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. MartinRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Kulasingham1B	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PinedaSS	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. GentryRF	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. SquiresOF	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		29	1	2	1	0	3	13

Player

.286

.258

.571

.250

.273

.136

.280

.188

.143

.500

.143

.000

.400

.273

.200

.286

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. BergertSP	3.2	7	5	5	1	4	65
D. Lynch IVRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	24
N. MearsRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	13
J. CuasRP	1.0	2	2	2	1	0	24
H. PattesonSP	0.2	6	5	5	1	0	25
A. PérezRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	5
Team	8.0	15	12	12	5	6	156

Player

3.2

1.0

1.1

1.0

0.2

0.1

Team

8.0

156

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.179	3	1	1	1	1	0	2
S. LangeliersC	.351	3	3	3	3	3	0	0
T. SoderstromLF	.389	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
B. RookerDH	.314	1	0	0	0	0	2	1
J. WilsonSS	.219	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. McNeil2B	.290	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Ibanez2B	.316	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. MarloweOF	.333	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
H. BolteCF	.375	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
B. ServenC	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Meneses1B	.429	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
L. De VriesSS	.400	2	2	2	2	0	0	0
B. Andrade3B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
C. ThomasRF	.219	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. ElliottLF	.240	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
T. White3B	.500	2	0	2	2	0	0	0
M. Stefanic2B	.433	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
C. PachecoCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. LaskoCF	.182	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
Team		38	12	15	12	4	5	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. LopezSP	4.0	0	0	0	1	7	52
S. BarlowRP	1.2	0	0	0	1	4	33
M. KellyRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. FergusonRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	17
W. SueroRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	13
J. KuhnelRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
Team	9.0	2	1	1	3	13	127

Team

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs KC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs KC.