New York Mets vs Washington Nationals: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+5NYM

NYM

10-6-1

WSH

11-5-3

CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches · Palm Beach, Florida

3,226 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs NYM.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Nolan McLeanNYM
6.3± 2.3medium
Foster GriffinWSH
6.2± 2.2medium
Christian ScottNYM
5.3± 2.9low

Hits

Carson BengeNYM
1.2± 0.8high
Juan SotoNYM
1.2± 0.9high
A.J. EwingNYM
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
2.8± 3.6high
Juan SotoNYM
2.1± 2.5high
A.J. EwingNYM
1.8± 2.1high

RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
0.9± 1.5high
A.J. EwingNYM
0.7± 0.9high
Mark VientosNYM
0.6± 0.8high

Earned runs

Kodai SengaNYM
4.1± 3.0low
Freddy PeraltaNYM
2.9± 3.6medium
Nolan McLeanNYM
2.8± 2.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYM

league avg

WSH

.675

OPS

.718

▶

.741

.300

OBP

.319

▶

.319

4.04

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.28

4.12

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.69

1.28

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.39

9.2

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYM wins

NYM 8 · WSH 3 (by 5)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYM	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	3	8
WSH	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BengeRF	.370	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
M. Vientos1B	.059	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Baty3B	.389	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
R. MauricioSS	.296	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
C. Arroyo2B	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. BrujanSS	.278	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
H. SengerC	.263	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
A.J. EwingCF	.368	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. PacheOF	.429	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Smith2B	.200	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
R. HernandezC	.500	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
C. Collins1B	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
D. MosqueraLF	.111	2	1	0	1	0	0	0
N. Lorusso3B	.333	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
N. Roselli2B	.333	2	0	1	3	0	0	0
B. RortvedtC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. CuevasOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. RudickLF	.250	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
Team		38	8	10	8	0	2	7

Player

.370

.059

.389

.296

.250

.278

.263

.368

.429

.200

.500

.000

.111

.333

.333

.000

.000

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Edwards Jr.RP	4.0	0	0	0	1	4	61
B. HudsonRP	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	22
G. LouisRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	5
J. JacquesRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	18
J. GerberRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15
R. LambertRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	18
D. OrellanaSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15
Team	9.0	3	3	3	4	11	154

Player

4.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

154

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. AbramsSS	.154	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. WoodRF	.083	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
D. LileLF	.192	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. Garcia Jr.1B	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. CrewsRF	.143	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
J. TenaDH	.150	3	1	0	0	0	1	1
N. Nunez2B	.227	1	0	1	1	0	1	0
D. MillasC	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Morales1B	.059	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
A. CruzSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. ThomasRF	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
E. RamirezRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Ortiz1B	.118	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. WiemerRF	.087	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. LawsonSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. BarreraC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Stehly1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		27	3	3	3	0	4	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. LittellSP	3.0	3	1	1	0	2	39
J. FernandezRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	9
C. PerezRP	1.0	2	1	0	0	1	14
D. SmithRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
Grissom Jr.RP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	9
J. SimpsonP	1.0	1	3	2	1	1	30
E. Mejia3B	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	18
Team	9.0	10	8	6	2	7	132

Team

NYM

WSH

3 sub-models, blended.

WSH vs NYM.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

WSH vs NYM.