Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+3LAD

LAD

14-6

107

SEA

5-15-1

Peoria Stadium · Peoria, Arizona

11,663 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs LAD.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium
Bryan WooSEA
6.2± 3.1medium

Hits

Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.2± 1.2high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.1± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.6high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Kyle TuckerLAD
0.7± 1.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
0.6± 0.8high

Earned runs

Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAD

league avg

SEA

.784

OPS

◀

.718

.695

.345

OBP

◀

.319

.313

5.27

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.02

3.43

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.72

1.11

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.19

9.0

K / 9

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

LAD 10 · SEA 7 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAD	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	10
SEA	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	7

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.323	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. TuckerRF	.250	1	2	1	1	1	2	0
T. HernándezLF	.484	3	1	2	3	1	0	0
A. CallLF	.474	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. Espinal3B	.448	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
A. Freeland2B	.138	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
N. Senzel3B	.276	3	0	0	1	0	0	1
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.324	3	1	2	3	1	0	1
E. AlfonzoC	.273	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. DavalanOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. EhrhardOF	.300	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Fitzgerald3B	.273	2	2	1	0	0	0	0
M. SianiCF	.143	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
N. MillerSS	.303	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
Z. HopeCF	.200	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
K. Nevin3B	.250	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
S. ZavalaC	.214	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. GauthierSS	.143	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		37	10	11	10	3	4	8

Player

.323

.250

.484

.474

.448

.138

.276

.324

.273

.000

.300

.273

.143

.303

.200

.250

.214

.143

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. KnackSP	2.0	3	3	3	1	4	45
E. HenriquezRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	3	17
W. KleinRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8
B. TreinenRP	1.0	0	0	0	3	1	30
B. CaspariusRP	1.2	0	1	1	3	3	33
M. LanzendorferP	0.1	0	0	0	2	1	12
K. MiddletonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16
Y. AlmonteRP	1.0	3	3	3	0	1	22
Team	9.0	7	7	7	9	13	183

Player

2.0

1.1

0.2

1.0

1.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

183

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.370	3	1	0	0	0	1	1
R. RefsnyderDH	.185	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
M. GarverC	.167	2	0	0	0	0	2	1
C. JoeRF	.344	4	2	2	0	0	1	1
P. Wisdom3B	.242	4	0	0	1	0	1	2
C. Emerson3B	.206	4	2	1	3	1	1	2
R. ThomasLF	.419	4	1	1	2	0	1	0
J. FarmeloOF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
B. Rodden2B	.423	3	0	1	1	0	1	0
Wi. Wilson3B	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. ReetzC	.118	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. PeredaC	.133	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
B. DavisCF	.364	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		34	7	7	7	1	9	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. AndersonSP	3.0	3	3	3	2	4	51
C. VargasRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	5
J. FerrerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
R. OrtizSP	0.0	3	4	4	0	0	21
T. ClevelandUN	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	26
G. ZunigaRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	18
R. DobnakRP	2.0	4	1	1	0	2	31
Team	9.0	11	10	10	4	8	163

Team

LAD

SEA

3 sub-models, blended.

SEA vs LAD.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs LAD.