Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+5CIN

CIN

10-9

15-4-1

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

8,649 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Luis ArraezSF
1.2± 0.9high
Heliot RamosSF
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high
Casey SchmittSF
2.0± 2.3high
Sal StewartCIN
1.8± 1.8high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high
Spencer SteerCIN
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Nick LodoloCIN
3.2± 2.9low
Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low
Brady SingerCIN
2.8± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

.699

OPS

.718

▶

.725

.310

OBP

.319

.308

4.27

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

4.57

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.31

1.46

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.36

8.2

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CIN wins

CIN 6 · SF 1 (by 5)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FriedlCF	.267	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
M. McLain2B	.543	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
W. BensonRF	.308	1	2	1	0	0	2	0
N. LoweDH	.259	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
J. BledayLF	.290	3	0	1	2	0	0	2
J. TrevinoC	.273	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
P.J. HigginsC	.227	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
G. Hampson2B	.037	3	1	0	0	0	0	2
T. LewisSS	.500	3	0	2	1	0	0	1
I. Johnson2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. AcostaSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. SasakiCF	.600	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
Z. Warren1B	.400	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. ConfidanLF	.600	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. TrautweinC	.222	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Sanchez3B	.375	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
R. TorresSS	.600	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
H. Jimenez3B	.333	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		39	6	13	6	0	4	13

Player

.267

.543

.308

.259

.290

.273

.227

.037

.500

.000

.000

.600

.400

.600

.222

.375

.600

.333

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BurnsSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	24
L. RichardsonRP	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	21
H. DannerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	17
L. MeyRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13
D. DanielSP	1.1	3	1	1	1	1	30
B. LeibrandtRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	21
Team	9.0	7	1	1	1	9	126

Player

2.0

1.2

1.0

1.0

1.1

2.0

Team

9.0

126

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. AdamesSS	.129	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Devers1B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Chapman3B	.385	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. BaileyC	.304	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. BaderCF	.353	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. GilbertCF	.211	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
W. BrennanLF	.385	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. EncarnacionRF	.308	4	0	2	1	0	0	0
B. Kennedy1B	.318	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
M. AhunaSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Holton1B	.233	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. Harber3B	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
E. HaaseC	.208	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
V. BericotoRF	.448	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. JordanOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
I. Barkett3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	1	7	1	0	1	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. RouppSP	3.0	4	2	2	3	4	64
E. MillerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	20
B. TidwellRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	3	18
N. MargeviciusSP	4.0	7	3	2	0	3	58
Team	9.0	13	6	5	4	13	160

Team

CIN

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs CIN.