Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+9ATH

ATH

10-12

134

MIL

8-11

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

6,354 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.1± 0.7high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.0± 1.0high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.6± 1.9high

RBIs

Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high
Jacob WilsonATH
0.6± 1.2high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

MIL

.736

OPS

.718

.730

.327

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.61

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

4.93

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.41

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

ATH 13 · MIL 4 (by 9)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	0	3	3	0	1	0	1	1	4	13
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. Ibanez2B	.343	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
Z. Gelof3B	.400	3	2	1	0	0	1	0
C. ThomasRF	.194	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
C. MarloweOF	.333	5	2	3	1	0	0	1
L. De VriesSS	.368	4	1	1	0	0	1	1
T. White3B	.464	5	2	3	7	1	0	1
M. Stefanic2B	.464	5	2	3	2	1	0	0
C. WallachC	.105	3	1	1	2	1	0	0
J. DickeyRF	.222	4	0	0	0	0	1	2
C. LearyRF	.200	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Andrade3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. ServenC	.222	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
D. Bucciero3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		42	13	15	13	4	5	8

Player

.343

.400

.194

.333

.368

.464

.464

.105

.222

.200

.000

.222

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. JumpSP	3.0	4	0	0	0	3	59
J. SternerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
L. MedinaRP	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	35
B. KriskeRP	1.2	2	0	0	1	1	33
A. CauseySP	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	23
G. HartliebRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	25
Team	9.0	9	4	4	4	6	186

Player

3.0

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

186

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. FrelickRF	.167	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
B. PerkinsCF	.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Bauers1B	.500	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
A. Vaughn1B	.400	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
G. MitchellCF	.111	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
L. Rengifo3B	.231	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. Hamilton3B	.258	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. McGuireC	.176	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. PrattSS	.280	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
L. LaraCF	.281	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. PayneOF	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. Adamczewski2B	.273	1	0	1	2	0	1	0
Jon Adams3B	.118	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. GuilarteSS	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Baez3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. ZamoraSS	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. WoodC	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. MurraySS	.333	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	4	9	3	0	4	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. HarrisonSP	4.0	6	6	6	1	4	66
J. CorbettRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	6
T. MegillRP	0.2	2	1	1	0	2	14
C. RodriguezRP	2.0	2	1	1	1	0	29
S. PeraltaRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	17
M. ManfrediRP	0.0	3	4	4	3	0	25
B. HolubRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14
Team	9.0	15	13	13	5	8	171

Team

ATH

MIL

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs ATH.