Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+3LAA

CLE

10-10-1

LAA

10-12

Tempe Diablo Stadium · Tempe, Arizona

7,703 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Parker MessickCLE
6.3± 2.4medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium
Travis BazzanaCLE
1.9± 3.1high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CLE

league avg

LAA

.676

OPS

.718

▶

.716

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.318

3.94

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.54

3.76

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.59

1.26

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.40

9.3

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

CLE 2 · LAA 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
LAA	1	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. JonesRF	.138	3	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. Brito2B	.190	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
D. FryRF	.087	2	0	0	0	0	2	2
C. KayfusLF	.125	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. FairchildRF	.333	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
P. HalpinCF	.318	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
J. RodriguezRF	.273	4	0	2	1	0	0	1
M. TolentinoSS	.188	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
D. Frias3B	.111	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
J. LampeCF	.300	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. Bazzana2B	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Mijares2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Ant. Martinez1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. ChourioCF	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. NunezC	.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. RodriguezSS	.667	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. CesariniOF	.125	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		33	2	7	2	0	7	15

Player

.138

.190

.087

.125

.333

.318

.273

.188

.111

.300

.200

.000

.000

.333

.300

.667

.125

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CantilloSP	4.2	3	3	3	1	6	74
K. AllardRP	1.1	2	2	2	3	0	29
C. HoldermanRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9
P. PalletteRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	14
Team	8.0	5	5	5	5	8	126

Player

4.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

126

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.259	2	1	0	0	0	2	0
M. TroutCF	.192	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. Schanuel1B	.240	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
J. SolerDH	.409	3	2	2	2	1	0	1
J. AdellRF	.324	3	1	1	2	1	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
O. Peraza2B	.324	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. Moore2B	.175	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. TeodosioLF	.313	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Sanchez3B	.316	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. SiriCF	.148	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Mancini1B	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. BruggemanC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. MecklerLF	.231	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
S. RiveroC	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Madrigal3B	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Frazier2B	.353	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. CamperoC	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	5	5	5	2	5	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. RodriguezSP	4.2	2	0	0	4	5	85
S. Natera Jr.RP	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	10
R. JohnsonSP	3.0	5	2	2	1	6	73
N. JonesRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	11
C. MinacciRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	5
Team	9.0	7	2	2	7	15	184

Team

CLE

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs CLE.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs CLE.