San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+1CIN

15-5-1

CIN

11-9

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

5,618 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CIN vs SF.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Luis ArraezSF
1.2± 0.9high
Heliot RamosSF
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high
Casey SchmittSF
2.0± 2.3high
Sal StewartCIN
1.8± 1.8high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high
Spencer SteerCIN
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Nick LodoloCIN
3.2± 2.9low
Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low
Brady SingerCIN
2.8± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

CIN

.725

OPS

◀

.718

.699

.308

OBP

.319

.310

4.06

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.27

4.31

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.57

1.36

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.46

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CIN wins

SF 0 · CIN 1 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
CIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Furman2B	.174	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. MatosRF	.273	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Koss2B	.391	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. RodríguezC	.320	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. EldridgeDH	.242	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. SchmittLF	.294	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. SusacC	.308	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. OlivaCF	.367	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. McCrayCF	.222	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
T. Fitzgerald2B	.194	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
O. BasabeSS	.435	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. PorterC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. KilenSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	0	5	0	0	2	3

Player

.174

.273

.391

.320

.242

.294

.308

.367

.222

.194

.435

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. WhisenhuntSP	3.2	1	1	1	3	6	72
R. EstradaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. WalkerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	8
J. BrubakerRP	3.0	0	0	0	3	5	58
Team	8.0	1	1	1	6	11	139

Player

3.2

0.1

1.0

3.0

Team

8.0

139

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. DunnCF	.158	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. SteerLF	.161	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. De La CruzSS	.290	1	1	0	0	0	2	1
S. Stewart1B	.345	1	0	1	1	0	2	0
T. StephensonC	.136	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. MarteRF	.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. Hayes3B	.208	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. RodriguezLF	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. DunoC	.250	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
E. PinedaRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. AlcantaraSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. HallSS	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Ibarra1B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. BanfieldC	.294	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. HendrickRF	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Callahan3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		25	1	1	1	0	6	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. SingerSP	4.0	3	0	0	2	2	59
P. JohnsonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10
G. AshcraftRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	7
C. PhillipsRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
Z. MaxwellRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14
H. ParksSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9
Team	9.0	5	0	0	2	3	112

Team

CIN

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CIN vs SF.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CIN vs SF.