Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+2CHW

CHC

9-11

CHW

12-9-1

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

9,109 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs CHC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 86 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Matthew BoydCHC
5.8± 3.1low
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium

Hits

Nico HoernerCHC
1.2± 1.2high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
1.2± 0.9high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high

Total bases

Dansby SwansonCHC
2.1± 3.0high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
2.0± 1.9high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Dansby SwansonCHC
1.3± 2.4high
Justin DeanCHC
1.0± 2.3low
Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.9low

Earned runs

Jordan WicksCHC
3.7± 5.5low
Shota ImanagaCHC
3.2± 3.4medium
Colin ReaCHC
2.8± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHC

league avg

CHW

.736

OPS

.718

.738

.335

OBP

◀

.319

.322

4.92

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.78

4.24

Team ERA

4.17

4.25

1.25

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.33

8.0

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

CHC 2 · CHW 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
CHW	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Busch1B	.269	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. AmayaC	.300	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. ConfortoDH	.300	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. McCormickLF	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. BallesterosDH	.333	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
O. Miller2B	.222	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
B.J. Murray Jr.3B	.292	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
K. KepleyOF	.267	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. Cowles3B	.250	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
K. Simas3B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. YangC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Triantos2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. PalmerOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Kalmer1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. LumpuyCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	2	5	0	0	1	13

Player

.269

.300

.300

.222

.333

.222

.292

.267

.250

.250

.000

.250

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. MartinRP	2.0	3	1	1	0	2	37
E. RobertsRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11
C. SniderRP	1.1	3	2	1	0	2	24
J. BrighamRP	1.1	1	1	1	0	3	29
L. Martinez-GomezRP	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	17
C. SchultzRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	21
Team	8.0	9	4	3	0	8	139

Player

2.0

1.0

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.0

Team

8.0

139

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.194	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. MontgomerySS	.235	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
E. PereiraRF	.286	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
A. HaysLF	.371	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
A. BenintendiDH	.318	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
J. KelenicRF	.219	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. Mead3B	.333	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. LeeC	.385	2	1	2	2	1	0	0
D. HarrisLF	.438	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Gonzalez1B	.267	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. WolkowOF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. Dunn3B	.292	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. RomoC	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BurkeCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Dru BakerCF	.261	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. Bergolla Jr.2B	.357	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ConnorOF	.364	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	4	9	4	2	0	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. MartinSP	4.0	1	0	0	0	4	39
J. HicksRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	10
S. NewcombRP	3.0	3	2	0	1	6	63
J. LeasureRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
Team	9.0	5	2	0	1	13	125

Team

CHC

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs CHC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs CHC.