New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 13, 2026

FINAL+1ATL

NYY

13-7

ATL

13-5-2

CoolToday Park · North Port, Florida

7,473 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · ATL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATL vs NYY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chris SaleATL
7.7± 1.9medium
Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.1± 2.9medium

Hits

Mauricio DubonATL
1.2± 0.8high
Matt OlsonATL
1.1± 1.2high
Michael Harris IIATL
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Mauricio DubonATL
2.0± 1.6high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.9± 2.6high
Matt OlsonATL
1.7± 1.5high

RBIs

Rowdy TellezATL
0.7± 1.4low
Ozzie AlbiesATL
0.6± 1.1high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Bryce ElderATL
3.1± 2.8medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYY

league avg

ATL

.749

OPS

◀

.718

.720

.323

OBP

◀

.319

.311

4.93

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.76

3.32

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.41

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.21

8.8

K / 9

8.5

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATL wins

NYY 6 · ATL 7 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	6
ATL	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.160	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. SchuemannSS	.350	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. BellingerLF	.318	3	0	1	1	0	0	2
R. GrichukDH	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. McMahon3B	.107	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
O. Cabrera3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. OrnelasSS	.261	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. Martinez Jr.1B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
P. HenryC	.150	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. EllisCF	.130	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
A. SanchezC	.176	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
T. Hardman1B	.333	1	1	1	2	0	0	0
G. MartinRF	.286	1	1	1	3	1	0	0
Z. ShortSS	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Vivas3B	.176	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
O. CobbSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS	.400	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
K. CoronaCF	.176	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		34	6	7	6	1	1	16

Player

.160

.350

.318

.125

.107

.000

.261

.250

.150

.130

.176

.333

.286

.250

.176

.000

B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS

.400

K. CoronaCF

.176

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. WeathersSP	3.2	7	4	4	0	4	67
K. AustinRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
Y. CruzRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15
D. HamelSP	2.0	5	2	2	1	0	36
O. BidoRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	23
Team	8.0	14	7	7	2	7	145

Player

3.2

0.1

1.0

2.0

1.0

Team

8.0

145

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. DubonSS	.320	3	1	1	1	1	1	2
O. Albies2B	.231	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
M. Olson1B	.250	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. Riley3B	.435	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
M. YastrzemskiLF	.435	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. HeimC	.182	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
K. FarmerDH	.481	3	1	3	1	0	0	0
J. AzocarRF	.393	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
D. Keirsey Jr.CF	.207	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
B. Wisely2B	.300	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. TavarezSS	.500	2	0	2	2	0	0	0
J. Groshans3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. ConleySS	.444	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. HicklenCF	.150	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. TrompC	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. ZebrowskiC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. GuanipaCF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. MaciasOF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
Team		35	7	14	7	1	2	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. FuentesRP	3.0	0	0	0	0	5	42
D. DoddRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	21
R. IglesiasRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11
R. SuarezRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12
A. BummerRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	19
R. FreyRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	10
I. MejiaSP	0.0	3	5	5	1	0	20
B. AbeytaSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	10
Team	9.0	7	6	6	1	16	145

Team

NYY

ATL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATL vs NYY.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATL vs NYY.