Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 12, 2026

FINAL

CHW

11-9-1

15-3-1

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

10,592 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 82 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium

Hits

Casey SchmittSF
1.4± 1.0high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Luis ArraezSF
1.2± 0.9high

Total bases

Rafael DeversSF
2.2± 2.7high
Miguel VargasCHW
2.0± 2.6high
Casey SchmittSF
2.0± 2.3high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.9low
Miguel VargasCHW
0.7± 1.6high
Tristan PetersCHW
0.7± 1.9high

Earned runs

Tyler MahleSF
3.1± 4.0low
Trevor McDonaldSF
2.8± 2.5low
Landen RouppSF
2.7± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

.738

OPS

◀

.718

.725

.322

OBP

◀

.319

.308

4.78

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

4.25

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.31

1.33

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.36

8.4

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

CHW 3 · SF 3 (tied)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
SF	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. AcunaCF	.440	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
M. Vargas3B	.306	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. QueroC	.353	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. KelenicRF	.207	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Sosa2B	.267	3	1	2	1	1	1	0
L. Wade Jr.1B	.258	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. PetersCF	.217	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
D. HillRF	.286	2	1	1	1	1	1	1
W. Bergolla Jr.2B	.370	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
M. Camilletti2B	.214	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. LodiseSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. NishidaRF	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Galanie1B	.182	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Da. Baker2B	.429	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Dru BakerCF	.273	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. MontgomeryRF	.364	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BreauxC	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		32	3	9	3	2	5	9

Player

.440

.306

.353

.207

.267

.258

.217

.286

.370

.214

.000

.167

.182

.429

.273

.364

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. BoruckiRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	6
J. CannonSP	3.1	5	2	2	4	3	72
Jar. KelleySP	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	7
E. AdlerRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	5
J. PaezSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	21
B. EisertRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
L. SimsRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	16
T. MillerRP	1.0	0	1	1	1	1	17
Team	9.0	6	3	3	6	11	157

Player

1.0

3.1

0.1

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

157

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. BaderCF	.429	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
R. Devers1B	.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Chapman3B	.375	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
W. AdamesSS	.143	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
B. EldridgeDH	.241	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
D. SusacC	.333	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
W. BrennanLF	.391	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
C. SchmittLF	.290	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. BericotoRF	.429	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
N. Furman2B	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. MatosRF	.310	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Koss2B	.381	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Fitzgerald2B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Holton1B	.241	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. DiazCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. HaaseC	.227	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. OlivaCF	.407	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. EncarnacionRF	.286	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
O. BasabeSS	.455	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. Harber3B	.320	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. GavelloC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. McCrayCF	.208	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	3	6	3	0	6	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. McDonaldSP	4.0	4	2	2	1	4	52
M. GageRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	13
K. WinnRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12
T. BeckRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	17
C. KilianRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13
J. SanchezSP	1.0	0	0	0	3	1	27
Team	9.0	9	3	3	5	9	134

Team

CHW

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs CHW.