Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 12, 2026

FINAL+4LAD

CIN

9-9

LAD

13-6

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

12,001 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Roki SasakiLAD
5.4± 3.1low

Hits

Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.2± 1.2high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.1± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.6high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Teoscar HernandezLAD
0.8± 1.9high

Earned runs

Nick LodoloCIN
3.2± 2.9low
Brady SingerCIN
2.8± 2.0medium
Rhett LowderCIN
2.8± 3.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

LAD

.699

OPS

.718

▶

.784

.310

OBP

.319

▶

.345

4.27

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.27

4.57

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.43

1.46

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.11

8.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

CIN 5 · LAD 9 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	5
LAD	4	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	9

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. McLain2B	.581	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
S. SteerLF	.179	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
E. De La CruzSS	.300	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. Stewart1B	.321	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
D. MyersCF	.350	2	2	1	0	0	1	0
T. StephensonC	.150	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. MarteRF	.313	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
K. Hayes3B	.227	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
R. HindsRF	.370	2	0	0	1	0	1	2
H. Jimenez3B	.000	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
C. JorgeCF	.200	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
G. Hampson2B	.042	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
P.J. HigginsC	.211	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. AllenCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. BanfieldC	.313	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. McCrystalC	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. LewisSS	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. VuLF	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		34	5	7	3	0	6	10

Player

.581

.179

.300

.321

.350

.150

.313

.227

.370

.000

.200

.042

.211

.000

.313

1.000

.429

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. LodoloSP	4.0	6	6	6	0	3	61
T. AntoneRP	1.0	3	2	2	1	2	31
Y. MarteRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	3	23
B. BurkeRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20
A. MisiewiczRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	13
Team	8.0	13	9	9	3	10	148

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

148

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.321	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. PagesCF	.414	3	2	2	0	0	0	0
T. HernándezLF	.464	3	2	2	3	1	0	0
F. Freeman1B	.474	2	1	1	1	0	1	1
A. CallLF	.529	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.333	3	2	1	2	1	0	0
S. Espinal3B	.462	3	0	1	2	0	0	1
D. RushingC	.179	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. Senzel3B	.308	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. Fitzgerald3B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Z. EhrhardOF	.316	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. MillerSS	.290	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.294	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
Z. HopeCF	.214	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. QuinteroCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Nevin3B	.333	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
S. ZavalaC	.154	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. Wagner3B	.375	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		37	9	13	9	3	3	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. IrvinRP	2.0	2	1	1	4	1	57
M. CabaRP	1.0	2	2	1	1	2	23
K. HurtRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16
P. GervaseRP	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	20
A. VesiaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4
T. ScottRP	1.0	1	2	0	0	1	14
A. KellyRP	0.2	1	0	0	1	1	24
A. KnowlesRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	13
Team	9.0	7	5	2	6	10	171

Team

CIN

LAD

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs CIN.