Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 12, 2026

FINAL+1CLE

MIL

8-10

CLE

10-9-1

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

5,531 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CLE favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CLE vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Travis BazzanaCLE
1.9± 3.1high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low
Travis BazzanaCLE
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium
Robert GasserMIL
2.5± 2.9low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

CLE

.730

OPS

◀

.718

.676

.337

OBP

◀

.319

.312

5.16

Runs / G

◀

4.50

3.94

3.41

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.76

1.18

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.26

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

9.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CLE wins

MIL 0 · CLE 1 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. MitchellCF	.133	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. LockridgeLF	.261	3	0	0	0	0	1	2
C. YelichDH	.182	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
G. SanchezC	.267	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. WilliamsSS	.286	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
M. Boeve2B	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. PrattSS	.227	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. HurtubiseLF	.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
E. LeonardSS	.462	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
Jor. AdamsCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. JonesLF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. RodríguezC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. MurraySS	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. Bitonti3B	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. BrownSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. RagsdaleOF	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. DickinsonSS	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		29	0	3	0	0	2	16

Player

.133

.261

.182

.267

.286

.125

.227

.286

.462

.000

.250

.333

.333

.333

.000

.250

.125

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. HallRP	2.0	1	1	1	1	2	34
E. McGeeSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	23
J. WaguespackRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	25
D. RomSP	2.0	1	0	0	1	0	24
P. StrzeleckiRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15
Team	8.0	4	1	1	2	7	121

Player

2.0

2.0

1.0

2.0

1.0

Team

8.0

121

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KwanCF	.259	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. DeLauterRF	.389	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. Ramirez3B	.192	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Manzardo1B	.161	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
R. Hoskins1B	.227	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
G. AriasSS	.286	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. RocchioSS	.310	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. HedgesC	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. MartinezLF	.417	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. FoxCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. WaltonOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. CurleySS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Kieboom3B	.118	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Fernandez2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. RomeroSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. HuffC	.364	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. MitchellOF	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		27	1	4	1	0	2	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. CecconiSP	4.0	2	0	0	1	6	67
C. SmithRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	7
E. SabrowskiRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	20
C. BrogdonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	15
C. HeuerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11
W. DionSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8
Team	9.0	3	0	0	2	16	128

Team

MIL

CLE

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CLE vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CLE vs MIL.