Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 10, 2026

FINAL+1SEA

6-10-1

SEA

5-12-1

Peoria Stadium · Peoria, Arizona

6,206 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs KC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 91 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium
Bryan WooSEA
6.2± 3.1medium

Hits

Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.2± 1.2high
Carter JensenKC
1.2± 0.7high
Josh NaylorSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Jac CaglianoneKC
2.5± 3.4high
Carter JensenKC
2.0± 1.7high
Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.9± 1.9high

RBIs

Jac CaglianoneKC
0.8± 1.3high
Carter JensenKC
0.7± 0.8high
Nick LoftinKC
0.6± 1.0high

Earned runs

Seth LugoKC
2.9± 2.4medium
Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

SEA

.707

OPS

◀

.718

.695

.316

OBP

.319

.313

4.20

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.02

4.83

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.72

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

KC 3 · SEA 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3
SEA	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. RaveRF	.130	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
I. CollinsLF	.111	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
C. JensenC	.300	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. Rojas3B	.304	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
K. MisnerCF	.278	3	1	2	3	1	0	1
D. VazquezSS	.235	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
P. Wilson2B	.133	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. KaiserSS	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. RoccaforteCF	.231	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
E. TorresCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. TreshC	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. Russell3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. GentryRF	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. DickersonSS	.667	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Kulasingham1B	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Johnson2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. ScottLF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	3	8	3	1	1	12

Player

.130

.111

.300

.304

.278

.235

.133

.250

.231

.000

.273

.000

.125

.667

.500

.000

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. RagansSP	3.1	4	2	2	0	5	51
D. Lynch IVRP	1.2	2	1	1	2	1	40
H. NerisRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	19
H. OlivarezSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	16
S. PanziniSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15
Team	8.0	8	4	4	4	9	141

Player

3.1

1.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

141

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.429	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Young2B	.200	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
B. DavisCF	.407	3	0	0	0	0	1	3
P. Wisdom3B	.308	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
J. PeredaC	.077	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. MontesRF	.160	4	2	2	1	0	0	2
L. Rivas3B	.238	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
S. PackardOF	.385	1	0	1	1	0	1	0
B. KnightOF	.667	3	0	2	2	0	0	0
C. Emerson3B	.192	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Taylor1B	.286	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. KniznerC	.188	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. ReetzC	.154	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	4	8	4	0	4	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CriswellRP	3.1	2	0	0	0	5	57
J. KingsburyRP	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	20
C. WilcoxRP	1.1	1	2	2	1	1	22
R. EasterlyRP	0.2	2	1	1	0	2	17
C. LeguminaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	15
R. OrtizSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	20
M. RuckerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13
Team	9.0	8	3	3	1	12	164

Team

SEA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SEA vs KC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs KC.