Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 10, 2026

FINAL+3LAD

ARI

8-10

LAD

12-6

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

8,636 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs ARI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Roki SasakiLAD
5.4± 3.1low
Emmet SheehanLAD
5.3± 2.8medium

Hits

Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.2± 1.2high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Ketel MarteARI
2.4± 1.7high
Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.1± 1.9high

RBIs

Corbin CarrollARI
0.8± 1.7high
Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Teoscar HernandezLAD
0.8± 1.9high

Earned runs

Zac GallenARI
4.0± 2.2medium
Merrill KellyARI
3.4± 2.8low
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ARI

league avg

LAD

.692

OPS

.718

▶

.784

.307

OBP

.319

▶

.345

4.22

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.27

4.33

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.43

1.30

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.11

7.0

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

ARI 1 · LAD 4 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ARI	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
LAD	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. LawlarLF	.333	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
T. TawaLF	.250	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. McCannC	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Baker1B	.296	3	0	2	0	0	1	1
R. WaldschmidtCF	.281	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. AmayaSS	.280	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Torin2B	.400	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
Ó. MercadoRF	.280	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Groover1B	.286	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. HurleyCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. RodriguezSS	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. O'NeillC	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. ConticelloOF	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. YoungbloodOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Luis2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Pena2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Soler3B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	1	5	1	1	2	11

Player

.333

.250

.111

.296

.281

.280

.400

.280

.286

.000

.250

.400

.250

.000

.000

.250

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. PfaadtRP	2.2	2	1	1	2	4	42
B. JarvisRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	5
K. StrowdRP	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	13
J. RossRP	2.0	2	1	0	1	1	30
J. LoaisigaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14
B. GarciaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
Team	8.0	7	4	3	3	9	117

Player

2.2

0.1

1.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

117

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.360	3	0	0	1	0	0	2
K. TuckerRF	.182	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
M. BettsSS	.357	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
F. Freeman1B	.471	3	0	2	1	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.333	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. PagesCF	.385	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
A. CallLF	.467	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
S. Espinal3B	.478	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
E. AlfonzoC	.316	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.281	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Z. EhrhardOF	.306	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Fitzgerald3B	.278	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. MillerSS	.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Senzel3B	.304	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. SianiCF	.150	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. HopeCF	.231	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
D. KeithRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. ZavalaC	.154	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		31	4	7	4	0	3	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GlasnowSP	4.1	2	1	1	1	5	60
B. CaspariusRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	6
B. TreinenRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	15
E. HenriquezRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	11
C. CamposSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	4	30
Team	9.0	5	1	1	2	11	122

Team

ARI

LAD

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs ARI.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs ARI.