Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 10, 2026

FINAL+7CIN

CIN

8-8

COL

8-8-1

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick · Scottsdale, Arizona

6,317 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Andrew AbbottCIN
4.4± 1.6medium
Brady SingerCIN
4.4± 2.4medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Edwin ArroyoCIN
1.0± 1.3high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

COL

.699

OPS

.718

▶

.739

.310

OBP

.319

▶

.324

4.22

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.61

4.57

Team ERA

◀

4.17

5.47

1.46

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.51

8.2

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CIN wins

CIN 8 · COL 1 (by 7)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	3	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	8
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FriedlCF	.320	3	1	3	3	1	0	0
S. Stewart1B	.308	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
E. De La CruzSS	.333	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BledayLF	.286	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
W. BensonRF	.280	4	2	2	1	1	0	0
N. LoweDH	.240	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
J. TrevinoC	.313	3	2	2	1	0	0	0
R. HindsRF	.400	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
P.J. HigginsC	.250	3	1	1	2	1	0	1
A. DunoC	.333	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
D. PitelliSS	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. HallSS	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. ConfidanLF	.667	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
K. VuLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Z. Warren1B	.667	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. LewisSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. HenleyCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. BanfieldC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		39	8	13	8	3	0	11

Player

.320

.308

.333

.286

.280

.240

.313

.400

.250

.333

.250

.333

.667

.000

.667

.500

.000

.333

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WilliamsonSP	3.0	1	0	0	0	3	40
P. JohnsonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	10
H. DannerRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	18
L. MeyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
L. RichardsonRP	1.1	2	1	0	0	2	29
T. KunclSP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	10
A. MisiewiczRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9
Team	9.0	5	1	0	1	9	129

Player

3.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.1

0.2

1.0

Team

9.0

129

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FreemanRF	.400	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. McCarthyCF	.286	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. GoodmanC	.083	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Rumfield1B	.308	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. DoyleCF	.357	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. BeckLF	.281	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Karros3B	.476	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
C. CondonOF	.400	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. Ritter2B	.394	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
C. Stevens2B	.240	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. HobsonCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. SullivanC	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Thach1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. KolokieLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. MachinSS	.217	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Hopfe1B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. Hedges2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	1	5	1	0	1	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. FeltnerSP	3.0	6	3	3	0	4	49
J. HergetRP	1.0	2	3	3	0	1	18
T. GordonRP	4.0	3	1	1	0	4	47
F. UlloaRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	21
Team	9.0	13	8	8	0	11	135

Team

CIN

COL

3 sub-models, blended.

COL vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs CIN.