MLBTop 9
TEX 4@CLE 3
-56.9pplow
MLBBot 5
SD 2@CHC 1
-38.2ppmedium
MLBBot 3
MIA 2@COL 3
+29.9pphigh
MLBTop 9
WSH 3@BOS 6
+46.6pplow
MLBBot 6
CIN 3@MIL 0
-61.1pplow
MLBTop 6
MIN 4@HOU 1
-56.9pplow
MLBTop 9
PIT 11@PHI 7
-62.2pplow
MLBBot 9
CHW 8@BAL 2
-38.1pplow
MLBBot 8
DET 7@NYY 0
-65.8pplow
LIVE · OUR PICK · MLBNYM ML +104 trails TOR 1-2 — Top 9th
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Garcia Jr. (WSH): 3 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Gray (BOS): 7.1 IP · 9 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. O'Hearn (PIT): 3 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CIN — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RF Matt Shaw on the 10-day IL (Jun 29)
TRANSACTION · MLBOrioles: Placed LHP Keegan Akin on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 28 (Jun 29)
TRANSACTION · MLBAthletics: Placed LF Tyler Soderstrom on the 10-day IL, retroactive to June 28 (Jun 29)
MLBTop 9
TEX 4@CLE 3
-56.9pplow
MLBBot 5
SD 2@CHC 1
-38.2ppmedium
MLBBot 3
MIA 2@COL 3
+29.9pphigh
MLBTop 9
WSH 3@BOS 6
+46.6pplow
MLBBot 6
CIN 3@MIL 0
-61.1pplow
MLBTop 6
MIN 4@HOU 1
-56.9pplow
MLBTop 9
PIT 11@PHI 7
-62.2pplow
MLBBot 9
CHW 8@BAL 2
-38.1pplow
MLBBot 8
DET 7@NYY 0
-65.8pplow
LIVE · OUR PICK · MLBNYM ML +104 trails TOR 1-2 — Top 9th
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Garcia Jr. (WSH): 3 H · 2 HR · 5 RBI in a win over BAL — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Gray (BOS): 7.1 IP · 9 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. O'Hearn (PIT): 3 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over CIN — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RF Matt Shaw on the 10-day IL (Jun 29)
TRANSACTION · MLBOrioles: Placed LHP Keegan Akin on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 28 (Jun 29)
TRANSACTION · MLBAthletics: Placed LF Tyler Soderstrom on the 10-day IL, retroactive to June 28 (Jun 29)
HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
  • NHL logo
  • NBA logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
FINAL+2LAA
LAA

LAA

8-11

2
0
SF

SF

13-3

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona
7,913 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · SF favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SF win)

    34%

    weight

  • Elo Pitching

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SF win)

    32%

    weight

  • Bullpen Park

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SF win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

LAA

league avg

SF

SF

.716

OPS

.718

▶

.725

.318

OBP

◀

.319

.308

4.54

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

4.59

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.31

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.36

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 2 · SF 0 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
LAA0000000022
SF0000000000

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

↳ Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Fantasy football
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Calibration Grade
  • Free tools & calculators
  • Matchup Predictor
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

70%Last 7 · 71-31
63%Last 30 · 298-176
Receipts →
MLB·Mon, Mar 9·Final/Seriestied 1-1
Win-probability impactWPA · win prob added
  1. 1T. VrielingSF−41.9pp
  2. 2E. RodriguezLAA+40.8pp
  3. 3G. DavalilloLAA+20.0pp

LAA · top performer

LAA
G

Gabriel Davalillo

C

2.000OPS

1-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

SF · top performer

SF
Casey Schmitt

Casey Schmitt

LF

1.000OPS

2-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

Game flowLAA ↔ SF

Biggest swing: 20pp · Top 9th Inning

MLB · Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final

Batters

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SolerDH
.3533010002
M. TroutCF
.2383000000
Z. NetoSS
.3042000011
V. Grissom2B
.1921000010
C. Moore2B
.2193000000
T. d'ArnaudC
.1503000002
O. Peraza2B
.3213010001
B. TeodosioLF
.3462000011
A. Frazier2B
.3531000011
- E. RodriguezCF
.3501100000
- G. DavalilloC
.3331010000
- K. CastilloCF
.0000100000
- Y. Sanchez3B
.3331011000
- N. Kavadas1B
.1541000000
- D. Walton3B
.3330001000
- O. MartinezC
.1541000001
- K. Paris2B
.3040000000
- J. SiriCF
.1250000000
- W. MecklerLF
.2501000000
Team27242049

Pitchers

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SorianoSP
5.01000460
C. SilsethRP
1.01000110
G. KlassenSP
3.01001234
Team9.030017104

Batters

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. Devers1B
.0003000002
M. Chapman3B
.3333000001
P. BaileyC
.3333000000
W. AdamesSS
.1543010000
C. SchmittLF
.3462010000
G. McCrayCF
.2383000001
J. OlivaCF
.3812000000
V. BericotoRF
.3852000000
O. BasabeSS
.4743010001
- N. Furman2B
.2111000001
- P. Harber3B
.2630000010
- L. PorterC
.0000000000
- T. CohenOF
.0000000000
- Z. ZielinskiSS
.0000000000
- B. Kennedy1B
.3161000000
- J. Holton1B
.2921000000
- J. EncarnacionRF
.2901000001
- L. MatosRF
.3601000000
Team29030017

Pitchers

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. RaySP
4.00004456
C. KilianRP
1.01000111
W. RamosRP
1.01000117
J. SanchezSP
1.0000018
N. ZwackRP
1.00000118
T. VrielingSP
1.02200125
Team9.042049135

Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail

Statcast · via Baseball Savant

LAA

  • J. Soriano
    60 pitches·28% CSW
    • FF
      28%·98.4 mph·29% whiff
    • SI
      23%·98.0 mph·0% whiff
    • KC
      17%·86.0 mph·75% whiff
    • SL
      17%·91.7 mph·60% whiff
    • FS
      15%·93.5 mph·0% whiff
  • G. Klassen
    34 pitches·35% CSW
    • FF
      38%·97.8 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      26%·89.8 mph·40% whiff
    • CH
      18%·87.8 mph·67% whiff
    • CU
      12%·85.5 mph·0% whiff
    • SI
      6%·97.9 mph·0% whiff
  • C. Silseth
    10 pitches·50% CSW
    • FS
      40%·87.6 mph·25% whiff
    • ST
      40%·87.5 mph·67% whiff
    • FF
      20%·96.4 mph·100% whiff

SF

  • R. Ray
    56 pitches·27% CSW
    • FF
      41%·94.1 mph·13% whiff
    • SL
      23%·85.8 mph·71% whiff
    • CH
      20%·86.4 mph·17% whiff
    • KC
      16%·82.2 mph·67% whiff
  • T. Vrieling
    25 pitches·12% CSW
    • FF
      52%·92.8 mph·0% whiff
    • FC
      48%·84.8 mph·20% whiff
  • N. Zwack
    18 pitches·17% CSW
    • FF
      61%·95.4 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      39%·85.8 mph·50% whiff
  • W. Ramos
    17 pitches·24% CSW
    • SI
      59%·93.7 mph·0% whiff
    • CU
      29%·76.8 mph·100% whiff
    • FF
      12%·94.7 mph·0% whiff
  • C. Kilian
    11 pitches·18% CSW
    • SI
      55%·96.2 mph·25% whiff
    • SL
      36%·90.4 mph·50% whiff
    • FF
      9%·97.3 mph·— whiff
  • J. Sanchez
    8 pitches·25% CSW
    • CH
      50%·86.2 mph·33% whiff
    • FF
      38%·94.6 mph·0% whiff
    • SI
      13%·94.8 mph·0% whiff

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

Hits

3

2

Runs

0

0

Errors

1

Team stats

LAA

Away

Stat

SF

Home

2

Runs

0

4

Hits

3

0

Errors

1

4

TB

4

0

HR

0

4

BB

1

9

K

7

10

LOB

7

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Feb 24SFSF4@LAALAA1
Mar 9LAALAA2@SFSF0today

How it ended

LAA beat SF 2-0. G. Davalillo led the way — 1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS. Davalillo's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

SF vs LAA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
SFTop 2nd Inning · 0-0
+9pp→ 55% WP

Moore · grounded into double play, third to second to first, Grissom out at second.

LAATop 9th Inning · 0-0
+20pp→ 82% WP

Davalillo · singled to right, E. Rodriguez to third.

LAABottom 9th Inning · 2-0
+11pp→ 100% WP

Kennedy · flied out to left.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
LAA0000000022
SF0000000000

Period scoring

LAA won 1 · SF won 0

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

2
0

Inn 9

Walton 1

LAA
SF

Play-by-play · 498 plays

period
event
player
  1. End 9t

    End of the 9th inning

    LAA 2·SF 0

  2. B9

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  3. B9

    Kennedy flied out to left.BIG MOMENT

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

    −11pp

  4. B9

    Pitch 3 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  5. B9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 2

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  6. B9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  7. B9

    George Klassen pitches to Buddy Kennedy

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  8. B9

    Cohen ran for Porter

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  9. B9

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  10. B9

    Porter hit by pitch, Harber to second.BIG MOMENT

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

    +5pp

  11. B9

    Pitch 2 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  12. B9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  13. B9

    George Klassen pitches to Logan Porter

    · ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  14. B9

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  15. B9

    Harber walked.

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

    +4pp

  16. B9

    Pitch 6 : Ball 4

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  17. B9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Looking

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  18. B9

    Pitch 4 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  19. B9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 3

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  20. B9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 2

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  21. B9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  22. B9

    George Klassen pitches to Parks Harber

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  23. B9

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  24. B9

    Furman struck out swinging.

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

    −3pp

  25. B9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 3 Swinging

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  26. B9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Looking

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  27. B9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  28. B9

    George Klassen pitches to Nate Furman

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  29. B9

    Furman hit for Devers

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

  30. B9

    ·

    LAA 2·SF 0

Recap · MLB

Los Angeles Angels went into San Francisco Giants and beat them, 2–0.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Player projections

SF vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 88 high confidence

Strikeouts

  • Reid DetmersLAA
    6.7± 3.8medium
  • Landen RouppSF
    5.9± 1.8medium
  • Jose SorianoLAA
    5.6± 1.9medium

Hits

  • Casey SchmittSF
    1.4± 1.0high
  • Donovan WaltonLAA
    1.3± 1.0high
  • Luis ArraezSF
    1.2± 0.9high

Total bases

  • Donovan WaltonLAA
    2.4± 1.7high
  • Rafael DeversSF
    2.2± 2.7high
  • Denzer GuzmanLAA
    2.0± 2.1medium

RBIs

  • Donovan WaltonLAA
    0.9± 1.0high
  • Denzer GuzmanLAA
    0.7± 1.2medium
  • Rafael DeversSF
    0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

  • Ryan JohnsonLAA
    3.2± 3.6low
  • Tyler MahleSF
    3.1± 4.0low
  • Trevor McDonaldSF
    2.8± 2.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands