Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL+2WSH

HOU

4-8-3

WSH

8-4-3

CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches · Palm Beach, Florida

3,325 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs HOU.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 98 high confidence

Strikeouts

Hunter BrownHOU
6.4± 3.1low
Foster GriffinWSH
6.2± 2.2medium
Spencer ArrighettiHOU
5.5± 2.4low

Hits

Isaac ParedesHOU
1.3± 1.0high
Jeremy PenaHOU
1.2± 1.1high
Dylan CrewsWSH
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
2.8± 3.6high
Isaac ParedesHOU
1.9± 1.7high
Jeremy PenaHOU
1.9± 2.6high

RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
0.9± 1.5high
Isaac ParedesHOU
0.8± 0.7high
Christian WalkerHOU
0.5± 1.0high

Earned runs

Mike BurrowsHOU
3.1± 2.6medium
Spencer ArrighettiHOU
2.7± 3.6low
Tatsuya ImaiHOU
2.5± 2.8low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

HOU

league avg

WSH

.724

OPS

.718

▶

.739

.315

OBP

.319

.318

4.46

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.26

4.76

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.71

1.40

WHIP

1.31

1.39

8.7

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

WSH wins

HOU 1 · WSH 3 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. MatthewsCF	.273	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. Altuve2B	.118	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. AlvarezDH	.091	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
Y. DiazC	.077	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Walker1B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. SmithRF	.278	3	1	2	1	1	0	1
L. SpenceOF	.133	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
R. Unroe2B	.263	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Biggers2B	.182	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. HuezoCF	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. GarciaC	.100	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SchiavoneC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. ThomasOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. WakefieldRF	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. SaccoSS	.091	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Winkler2B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	1	3	1	1	1	11

Player

.273

.118

.091

.077

.000

.278

.133

.263

.182

.143

.100

.000

.000

.286

.091

.333

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. BrownSP	4.0	0	0	0	2	9	62
C. RoaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
S. OkertRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
J.P. FranceSP	1.1	3	3	3	1	1	38
T. CosgroveRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team	8.0	3	3	3	3	13	124

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.1

0.2

Team

8.0

124

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Nunez2B	.188	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
R. Hassell IIICF	.278	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. RuizC	.263	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
A. Chaparro1B	.214	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. MillasC	.308	2	0	0	1	0	0	2
J. TenaDH	.154	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. WiemerRF	.056	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Morales1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. FranklinLF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. KingSS	.385	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Y. CabreraCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. RamirezSS	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
R. AdamsC	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Ortiz1B	.083	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
R. CruzSS	.500	1	1	1	2	1	0	0
L. PinedaRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Lipscomb3B	.313	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. McKenzieLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		25	3	3	3	1	3	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AlvarezRP	4.0	1	0	0	0	5	41
O. RibaltaRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	18
J. RutledgeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
C. HenryRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10
G. McGarrySP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	23
G. VarlandRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	11
Team	9.0	3	1	1	1	11	113

Team

HOU

WSH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

WSH vs HOU.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

WSH vs HOU.