Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL+3MIL

SEA

4-11-1

MIL

8-7

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

7,161 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.1± 0.7high
Josh NaylorSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high
Julio RodriguezSEA
1.6± 1.2high

RBIs

William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high
Andrew VaughnMIL
0.6± 1.0high
Christian YelichMIL
0.5± 0.7high

Earned runs

Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

MIL

.696

OPS

.718

▶

.732

.313

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.01

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

3.72

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.40

1.19

WHIP

1.31

1.18

8.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

SEA 3 · MIL 6 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
MIL	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. RoblesRF	.111	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. Young2B	.190	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. DavisCF	.458	3	1	1	1	1	0	2
P. Wisdom3B	.304	3	1	0	0	0	0	3
L. Rivas3B	.235	2	1	1	2	1	1	0
A. KniznerC	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. MontesRF	.100	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
Wi. Wilson3B	.316	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
J. FarmeloOF	.227	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. RambuschOF	.063	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SundstromOF	.308	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Taylor1B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Rodden2B	.421	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. ReetzC	.182	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. SianiRF	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Cali3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. ThomasLF	.389	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	3	6	3	2	3	16

Player

.111

.190

.458

.304

.235

.200

.100

.316

.227

.063

.308

.286

.421

.182

.500

.000

.389

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. KirbySP	3.0	2	1	1	1	2	55
T. TaylorRP	0.2	2	3	3	1	0	22
P. Alford1B	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4
J. SimpsonRP	1.0	2	2	2	2	3	27
Y. ZuluetaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	16
G. MosserRP	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	31
Team	8.0	7	6	6	5	11	155

Player

3.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

2.0

Team

8.0

155

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. MitchellCF	.182	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
J. Bauers1B	.500	3	1	2	1	1	0	0
C. YelichDH	.333	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
A. Vaughn1B	.375	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
D. Hamilton3B	.261	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
B. PerkinsCF	.333	3	1	1	1	0	1	1
B. Wilken3B	.222	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. QueroC	.125	3	1	0	0	0	1	2
E. MurraySS	.167	4	1	1	3	1	0	1
L. LaraCF	.259	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. HurtubiseLF	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. MillerC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Jon Adams3B	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. VargasOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jor. AdamsCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. LeonardSS	.455	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. RodríguezC	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. GuilarteSS	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	6	7	6	2	5	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. HarrisonSP	3.0	2	2	1	2	8	60
J. KoenigRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	6
J. MisiorowskiSP	3.1	2	1	1	1	6	59
J. BrocaRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	11
M. ChildersRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	10
Team	9.0	6	3	2	3	16	146

Team

SEA

MIL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs SEA.