Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL

CLE

8-8-1

COL

8-6-1

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick · Scottsdale, Arizona

7,294 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Parker MessickCLE
6.3± 2.4medium
Joey CantilloCLE
4.9± 3.3medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CLE

league avg

COL

.676

OPS

.718

▶

.740

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.325

3.93

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.61

3.77

Team ERA

◀

4.17

5.50

1.26

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.51

9.3

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CLE wins

CLE 4 · COL 4 (tied)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	4
COL	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. MartinezLF	.421	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. DeLauterRF	.538	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
D. FryRF	.105	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
D. SchneemannCF	.364	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
C. KayfusLF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
N. JonesRF	.115	3	0	0	0	0	1	3
J. Brito2B	.222	2	0	1	2	0	1	1
K. WatsonRF	.429	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
A. Genao3B	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. HalpinCF	.353	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. AntunezRF	.308	1	2	0	0	0	1	0
D. NunezC	.250	1	0	1	1	0	1	0
M. TolentinoSS	.231	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
R. Velazquez1B	.385	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. CaceresOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Mercedes1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. WaltonOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Kieboom3B	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	4	5	4	0	9	12

Player

.421

.538

.105

.364

.167

.115

.222

.429

.250

.353

.308

.250

.231

.385

.000

.000

.000

.125

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CantilloSP	4.2	5	2	2	0	4	69
J. LeftwichRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	3
C. SmithRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14
T. HerrinRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12
E. SabrowskiRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	27
J. JasiakRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	17
Team	9.0	9	4	4	1	8	142

Player

4.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

142

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FreemanRF	.571	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. McCarthyCF	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. GoodmanC	.095	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. MoniakLF	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. SullivanC	.529	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. Karros3B	.474	4	0	2	1	0	0	1
T. Rumfield1B	.318	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Stevens2B	.261	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. Amador2B	.250	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
Z. VeenLF	.263	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. Ritter2B	.444	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. AvansLF	.083	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. McCannC	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. BelyeuOF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
T. JohnstonRF	.276	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. PerezSS	.000	1	1	0	1	0	0	0
N. Lopez2B	.286	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		35	4	9	3	0	1	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. CastellanoRP	2.0	1	0	0	3	2	35
J. HillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
S. HalvorsenRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	19
J. BrebbiaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14
K. EatonP	1.1	3	3	3	4	2	39
V. JuarezRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	5
C. DentonP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	12
R. MillerRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	20
Team	9.0	5	4	4	9	12	157

Team

CLE

COL

3 sub-models, blended.

COL vs CLE.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs CLE.