Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL+1CHW

6-8-1

CHW

10-7

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

4,542 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs KC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 86 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium
Noah CameronKC
5.1± 2.5medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.2± 1.2high
Carter JensenKC
1.2± 0.7high

Total bases

Jac CaglianoneKC
2.5± 3.4high
Miguel VargasCHW
2.0± 2.6high
Carter JensenKC
2.0± 1.7high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.9low
Jac CaglianoneKC
0.8± 1.3high
Miguel VargasCHW
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Seth LugoKC
2.9± 2.4medium
Noah CameronKC
2.6± 2.0medium
Michael WachaKC
2.4± 2.1medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

CHW

.707

OPS

.718

▶

.739

.316

OBP

.319

▶

.323

4.20

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.82

4.83

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.22

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.32

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

KC 4 · CHW 5 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4
CHW	1	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Loftin2B	.318	3	1	2	3	1	1	0
I. CollinsLF	.067	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
C. JensenC	.353	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
M. Massey2B	.364	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. MisnerCF	.200	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. RaveRF	.158	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. KaiserSS	.294	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
P. Wilson2B	.167	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
D. VazquezSS	.143	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
R. MartinRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Kulasingham1B	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. MarreroC	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. CrossRF	.235	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. RoccaforteCF	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. RamírezC	.111	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. SquiresOF	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PinedaSS	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. DickersonSS	.750	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		31	4	6	3	1	5	9

Player

.318

.067

.353

.364

.200

.158

.294

.167

.143

.000

.429

.273

.235

.200

.111

.429

.500

.750

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. CameronSP	3.0	3	2	2	1	3	55
M. StrahmRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	10
J. SchreiberRP	1.0	3	3	2	0	0	16
A. LangeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
M. BlackRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13
D. ColleranRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
Team	8.0	9	5	4	1	4	117

Player

3.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

117

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. AcunaCF	.412	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
C. MontgomerySS	.174	3	1	1	2	1	0	1
J. KelenicRF	.261	3	2	2	1	1	0	1
M. Vargas3B	.310	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. HaysLF	.280	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. Sosa2B	.208	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Wade Jr.1B	.300	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
K. LeeC	.250	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
Dru BakerCF	.300	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
O. Dunn3B	.188	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. RomoC	.300	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. HarrisLF	.545	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Da. Baker2B	.545	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. SprinkleSS	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. BurkeCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. BurrowesSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Galanie1B	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	5	9	4	2	1	4

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. HicksRP	1.2	1	2	2	4	1	38
Jac. KelleyRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	7
S. NewcombRP	3.0	3	2	2	0	2	44
J. LeasureRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
C. MurphyRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	19
T. GilbertRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	25
Team	9.0	6	4	4	5	9	146

Team

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs KC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs KC.