Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL+3ATH

LAA

7-11

ATH

6-10

Las Vegas Ballpark · Las Vegas, Nevada

10,606 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · ATH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 91 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.0± 1.0high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.8± 1.5high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.7± 1.2medium

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

ATH

.718

OPS

.718

▶

.738

.319

OBP

.319

▶

.328

4.51

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.59

4.57

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.93

1.40

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.44

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

LAA 4 · ATH 7 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	4
ATH	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	2	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Madrigal3B	.353	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Schanuel1B	.133	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. AdellRF	.280	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	.292	2	1	1	2	1	0	0
O. Peraza2B	.320	4	1	3	1	1	0	0
W. MecklerLF	.261	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
K. Paris2B	.304	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
C. Fontenelle3B	.200	4	0	1	0	0	0	3
B. TeodosioLF	.375	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Gobbel3B	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Rodriguez2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Kavadas1B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. MartinezC	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. FlintRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		35	4	10	3	2	1	10

Player

.353

.133

.280

.292

.320

.261

.304

.200

.375

.429

.000

.167

.167

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KochanowiczSP	4.0	3	1	1	0	2	48
A. GordonRP	2.0	2	1	1	1	3	39
K. OrtRP	1.0	3	3	3	1	0	19
T. SaucedoRP	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	21
Team	8.0	10	7	7	3	6	127

Player

4.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

127

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.154	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. WilsonSS	.217	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
T. SoderstromLF	.346	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. RookerDH	.240	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. WynnsC	.278	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. White3B	.500	4	3	3	3	2	0	0
H. BolteCF	.444	4	2	4	2	1	0	0
J. PerezCF	.167	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Kuroda-GrauerSS	.333	3	1	1	1	0	1	0
L. Mann3B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Swift3B	1.000	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
C. LearyRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. WallachC	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
B. LavastidaC	.111	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	7	10	7	3	3	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. CivaleSP	3.2	5	2	2	0	4	60
T. FergusonRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	21
N. AndersonRP	1.1	2	1	0	0	2	27
W. SueroRP	2.0	1	1	1	0	2	26
N. HernandezRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	15
Team	9.0	10	4	3	1	10	149

Team

LAA

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs LAA.