Texas Rangers vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 26, 2026

FINAL+4ATH

TEX

4-4

ATH

1-4

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

3,686 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · TEX favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs TEX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob deGromTEX
6.8± 2.7medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.7± 2.1medium
Gage JumpATH
5.7± 2.5low

Hits

Brandon NimmoTEX
1.1± 1.0high
Josh JungTEX
1.1± 1.0high
Nicky LopezTEX
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Joc PedersonTEX
2.0± 2.4high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.9± 2.3high
Josh JungTEX
1.8± 1.8high

RBIs

Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Jake BurgerTEX
0.7± 1.0high
Jonah HeimATH
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.8± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Nathan EovaldiTEX
2.5± 2.2medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

TEX

league avg

ATH

.710

OPS

.719

▶

.734

.319

OBP

.319

▶

.326

4.02

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.58

3.97

Team ERA

◀

4.18

5.02

1.23

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.45

8.7

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

TEX 3 · ATH 7 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TEX	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	3
ATH	2	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. Wade2B	.545	2	1	1	1	1	1	0
J. PedersonDH	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. OsunaLF	.125	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. CauleySS	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Bride3B	.364	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
R. MartinSS	.467	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. HerreraC	.091	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
A. ZavalaLF	.308	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. VelazquezSS	.077	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. TorresRF	.500	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
A. MaciasOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. OsorioCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Pollard2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. MooreC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. GarateSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
I. MollerC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. MartinRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Taylor3B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	3	7	3	2	5	5

Player

.545

.250

.125

.250

.364

.467

.091

.308

.077

.500

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. QuantrillRP	2.2	8	6	6	0	1	--
L. KindreichP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
T. SupakSP	3.0	1	1	0	1	3	--
P. GrayRP	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	8.0	9	7	6	1	5	0

Player

2.2

0.1

3.0

2.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.100	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. LangeliersC	.125	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
T. SoderstromLF	.429	3	2	2	2	0	0	0
B. RookerDH	.250	3	1	2	3	1	0	0
J. McNeil2B	.500	2	1	1	1	0	1	0
A. Ibanez2B	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CortesRF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. HernaizSS	.500	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
D. ClarkeCF	.000	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
M. Muncy3B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Meneses1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
H. BolteCF	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Harris3B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. De VriesSS	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. WallachC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. LaskoCF	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Stefanic2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PerezCF	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	7	9	6	1	1	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. PerkinsRP	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
M. Leiter Jr.RP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	--
W. LinP	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	--
J. KuhnelRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	--
C. ZhuangRP	2.0	4	2	2	0	1	--
N. HernandezRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	--
B. KriskeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	7	3	3	5	5	0

Team

TEX

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs TEX.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs TEX.