Matchup orbital
NYM
NYM
11-21
Sat, 9:38 PM EDT
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
LAA
LAA
12-21
Pregame · scouting report
The matchup, end-to-end.
Probable starters, projected lineups, head-to-head this season, our model edge against the market — every angle on one surface.
Away starter
Nolan McLean
SP · #26
1-2
W-L
2.55
ERA
0.85
WHIP
45
K
35.1
IP
Last 3 starts
Home starter
Reid Detmers
SP · #48
1-2
W-L
4.28
ERA
1.10
WHIP
36
K
33.2
IP
Last 3 starts
Vegas line
Model edge
Head to head
Place a bet
Pick a side.
Even matchup per the model — pick a side and we'll send you to the book.
21+ in most states. Lines refreshed at the moment of fetch. We may earn a referral fee on book signups — your odds and terms are unchanged.
LAANYMWin prob axisLAANYM -122/LAA +102NYM
Mets
11-21
LAA★
Angels
12-21
NYM11-21
NYM
12-21LAA
LAA
Preview · MLB
ew York Mets visit Los Angeles Angels Saturday at 5/2 - 9:38 PM EDT.
Vegas opened NYM as a 1.5-point favorite with the total at 8.0. LAA's moneyline implies a 50% break-even, NYM the inverse.
For bettors: the NYM side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 8.0 total reads defensive vs the league average.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
NYM lead series 1-0
NYM4@LAA3NYM@LAAtodayNYM@LAAupcomingSeason series
NYM lead series 1-0
NYM4@LAA3NYM@LAAtodayNYM@LAAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NYM -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
NYM-12255%LAA+10250%11· 6.2h
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 50 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
+1.5 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Pitching matchup · today
ESPN · season statsNYMSPN. McLean
#26 · 1-2
ERA
2.55
K
45
SV
—
Last 3 starts
COL5.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 KL(1-2)
MIN6.2 IP · 3 ER · 10 K-
LAD7.0 IP · 1 ER · 8 K-LAASPR. Detmers
#48 · 1-2
ERA
4.28
K
36
SV
—
Last 3 starts
KC5.0 IP · 3 ER · 5 K-
TOR6.0 IP · 4 ER · 5 KL(1-2)
NYY7.0 IP · 1 ER · 9 KW(1-1)Scouting report
NYM @ LAA
Rest going in
1 day
last game May 1
1 day
last game May 1
Model edge vs market
Lean onlyMarket
NYM -1.5
Model
On the roadmap
Edge
—
Market
8.0
Model
On the roadmap
Edge
—
Market
NYM -122
Model
On the roadmap
Edge
—
Model spread derived from 21-day power-rank delta · not a true point-spread model. Total + ML model wires roadmap. Bet responsibly · 21+
Tale of the tape
11-21
Record
12-21
#15
Conf rank
#15
-1.1
Pt diff
-0.4
W1
Streak
L7
4-6
Last 10
1-9
Bullpen used yesterday
NYM
4.0 bullpen IP · heavy
- H. Brazoban1.0 IP11 P
- B. Raley1.0 IP8 P
- L. Weaver1.0 IP17 P
- D. Williams1.0 IP14 P
W 4-3 · May 1
LAA
4.0 bullpen IP · heavy
- B. Suter0.2 IP17 P
- C. Silseth0.1 IP6 P
- J. Fermin1.0 IP21 P
- N. Sandlin2.0 IP23 P
L 4-3 · May 1
Composite signals from ESPN standings + 21-day power rolling. NBA pace / ORtg / DRtg from ESPN core team-stats; NFL yards-per-game from nflverse aggregation. Park factors, weather, KenPom-class metrics still on the roadmap.
Team stats
NYM
Away
Stat
LAA
Home
242
Hits
256
16
Errors
18
110
Runs
153
Player box score
NYM
11-21
| Player | H-AB | RBI | HR |
|---|
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|
LAA
12-21
| Player | H-AB | RBI | HR |
|---|
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|
Betting line
NYM -1.5·O/U 8·NYM -122/LAA +102