Matchup orbital

TEX

TEX

TEX

16-16

Sat, 7:15 PM EDT

Win prob

48/52

AWAY · HOME

DET

DET

DET

16-17

Pregame · scouting report

The matchup, end-to-end.

Probable starters, projected lineups, head-to-head this season, our model edge against the market — every angle on one surface.

Away starter

Kumar Rocker

Kumar Rocker

SP · #80

1-2

W-L

3.38

ERA

1.31

WHIP

22

K

26.2

IP

Last 3 starts

vsATHL(1-2)6.0 IP2 ER3 K
vsPITW(1-1)6.0 IP1 ER5 K
@ATH-4.2 IP2 ER6 K

Home starter

Keider Montero

Keider Montero

SP · #54

1-2

W-L

4.00

ERA

1.00

WHIP

23

K

27.0

IP

Last 3 starts

@CIN-5.0 IP3 ER5 K
vsMILL(1-2)5.2 IP3 ER3 K
vsKC-6.0 IP4 ER5 K

Vegas line

Spread-1.5
TotalO/U 8
Money+113 / -136

Model edge

Win prob48% / 52%
LeanTossup
ConfidenceTossup

Head to head

SeriesTEX leads series 1-0
TypeCurrent Series

Place a bet

Pick a side.

Even matchup per the model — pick a side and we'll send you to the book.

+113Bet TEX ML↗+113Bet TEX ML↗
-136Bet DET ML↗-136Bet DET ML↗

Other markets

-1.5Bet the run line↗-1.5Bet the run line↗
O/U 8Bet the total↗O/U 8Bet the total↗

21+ in most states. Lines refreshed at the moment of fetch. We may earn a referral fee on book signups — your odds and terms are unchanged.

Projected lineups

Top of the order, top of mind.

Posted by ESPN ~30 minutes before first pitch.

TEX

  1. 1.E. CarterCF
  2. 2.C. SeagerSS
  3. 3.J. Jung3B
  4. 4.J. PedersonDH
  5. 5.J. Burger1B
  6. 6.A. OsunaLF
  7. 7.E. DuranRF
  8. 8.J. Smith2B
  9. 9.D. JansenC

DET

  1. 1.K. McGonigleSS
  2. 2.G. Torres2B
  3. 3.C. Keith3B
  4. 4.R. GreeneLF
  5. 5.D. DinglerC
  6. 6.K. CarpenterRF
  7. 7.S. Torkelson1B
  8. 8.W. PerezCF
  9. 9.J. JungDH
Model vs marketLean
DraftKings · snapped just now
+3.5ppon TEXTEX
TEXTEXWin prob axisDETDET
Market 55%
Model 52%
0%50%100%
ModelTEX 48%Pre-game prob
MarketTEX 45%No-vig · 4.6% hold
Edge+3.5ppModel finds value
TEXTEX +113/DETDET -136
+113Bet TEX ML↗+113Bet TEX ML↗
The One modelTossup
Sat, May 2
TEX

TEX

Rangers

16-16

vs52%DET

DET★

Tigers

16-17

DET
TEX 48%win prob52% DET
DET 1498 · TEX 1510Box score→
← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Sat, May 25/2 - 7:15 PM EDT
TEX

TEX16-16

TEX

@

16-17DET

DET

DET
SeriesTEX leads series 1-0VegasDET -136

Preview · MLB

exas Rangers visit Detroit Tigers Saturday at 5/2 - 7:15 PM EDT.

Vegas opened DET as a 1.5-point favorite with the total at 8.0. DET's moneyline implies a 58% break-even, TEX the inverse. DET is on a back-to-back.

For bettors: the DET side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 8.0 total reads defensive vs the league average.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

5/2 - 7:15 PM EDTScheduled
Updated 0s ago
TEX
TEX16-160
5/2 - 7:15 PM EDT
DET
DET16-170

Current series

TEX leads series 1-0

May 1TEXTEX5@DETDET4
May 2TEXTEX@DETDETtoday
May 3TEXTEX@DETDETupcoming

Season series

TEX leads series 1-0

May 1TEXTEX5@DETDET4
May 2TEXTEX@DETDETtoday
May 3TEXTEX@DETDETupcoming
Jul 3DETDET@TEXTEXupcoming
Jul 4DETDET@TEXTEXupcoming
Jul 5DETDET@TEXTEXupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

TEXTEX+11347%
DETDET-13658%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 49 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+1.5 since open

Total

8.0

-0.5 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats
TEXTEXSP
K. Rocker

K. Rocker

#80 · 1-2

ERA

3.38

K

22

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/26vsATHATH6.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 KL(1-2)
4/22vsPITPIT6.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 KW(1-1)
4/16@ATHATH4.2 IP · 2 ER · 6 K-
DETDETSP
K. Montero

K. Montero

#54 · 1-2

ERA

4.00

K

23

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/26@CINCIN5.0 IP · 3 ER · 5 K-
4/21vsMILMIL5.2 IP · 3 ER · 3 KL(1-2)
4/16vsKCKC6.0 IP · 4 ER · 5 K-

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order
TEXTEX5L · 4R
  1. 1

    E. Carter

    CF

    L
  2. 2

    C. Seager

    SS

    L
  3. 3

    J. Jung

    3B

    R
  4. 4

    J. Pederson

    DH

    L
  5. 5

    J. Burger

    1B

    R
  6. 6

    A. Osuna

    LF

    L
  7. 7

    E. Duran

    RF

    R
  8. 8

    J. Smith

    2B

    L
  9. 9

    D. Jansen

    C

    R
DETDET5L · 3R · 1S
  1. 1

    K. McGonigle

    SS

    L
  2. 2

    G. Torres

    2B

    R
  3. 3

    C. Keith

    3B

    L
  4. 4

    R. Greene

    LF

    L
  5. 5

    D. Dingler

    C

    R
  6. 6

    K. Carpenter

    RF

    L
  7. 7

    S. Torkelson

    1B

    R
  8. 8

    W. Perez

    CF

    B
  9. 9

    J. Jung

    DH

    L

Scouting report

TEX @ DET

5/2 - 7:15 PM EDT

Rest going in

TEXB2B

0 days

last game May 1

DETB2B

0 days

last game May 1

Model edge vs market

Lean only
Spread

Market

DET -1.5

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Total

Market

8.0

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Moneyline

Market

DET -136

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Model spread derived from 21-day power-rank delta · not a true point-spread model. Total + ML model wires roadmap. Bet responsibly · 21+

Tale of the tape

TEXmetricDET

16-16

Record

16-17

#5

Conf rank

#7

+0.3

Pt diff

+0.2

W2

Streak

L1

5-5

Last 10

4-6

Bullpen used yesterday

TEX

5.3 bullpen IP · heavy

  • C. Winn0.2 IP25 P
  • J. Beeks1.2 IP22 P
  • T. Alexander1.0 IP14 P
  • J. Junis1.0 IP9 P
  • J. Latz1.0 IP15 P

W 5-4 · May 1

DET

5.3 bullpen IP · heavy

  • E. De Jesus1.1 IP17 P
  • B. Hanifee1.0 IP13 P
  • B. Hurter1.0 IP13 P
  • B. Smith2.0 IP32 P

L 5-4 · May 1

Composite signals from ESPN standings + 21-day power rolling. NBA pace / ORtg / DRtg from ESPN core team-stats; NFL yards-per-game from nflverse aggregation. Park factors, weather, KenPom-class metrics still on the roadmap.

Team stats

TEX

Away

Stat

DET

Home

251

Hits

274

15

Errors

17

125

Runs

146

Player box score

TEX

TEX

16-16

0
E. Carter

E. Carter★

CF

OPS

0.467

H-AB

17-92

RBI

9

HR

3

C. Seager

C. Seager★

SS

OPS

0.579

H-AB

24-114

RBI

17

HR

6

J. Jung

J. Jung★

3B

OPS

0.755

H-AB

34-106

RBI

19

HR

4

J. Pederson

J. Pederson★

1B

OPS

0.514

H-AB

16-74

RBI

6

HR

2

J. Burger

J. Burger★

1B

OPS

0.563

H-AB

28-126

RBI

19

HR

5

A. Osuna

A. Osuna★

LF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

4-12

RBI

2

HR

0

E. Duran

E. Duran★

LF

OPS

0.597

H-AB

17-62

RBI

8

HR

1

J. Smith

J. Smith★

2B

OPS

0.376

H-AB

16-85

RBI

6

HR

0

D. Jansen

D. Jansen★

C

OPS

0.507

H-AB

15-71

RBI

8

HR

2

Team total

H-AB

-----

RBI

--

HR

--

K. Rocker

K. Rocker★

SP

IP

--.--

H

--

ER

--

K

--

Team total

IP

--.--

H

--

ER

--

K

--

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 8·TEX +113/DET -136

DraftKings · via ESPN