Matchup orbital
10
TOR
TOR
8-13
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
4
ARI
ARI
13-9
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
TOR wins
TOR 10 · ARI 4 (by 6)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked ARI +5pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| ARI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
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TOR8-13
TOR
13-9ARI
ARI
Recap · MLB
oronto Blue Jays went into Arizona Diamondbacks and beat them, 10–4. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
TOR -1.5 cashed (won by 6). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 6.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
ARI wins series 2-1
TOR3@ARI6TOR2@ARI6TOR10@ARI4todaySeason series
ARI wins series 2-1
TOR3@ARI6TOR2@ARI6TOR10@ARI4todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
TOR-11754%ARI-10351%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 11pp · Top 1st Inning
TOR
K. Okamoto
3BBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.850 OPS
K. Gausman
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 7 H · 1 BB
ARI
J. Barrosa
LFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.500 OPS
B. Pfaadt
SPTop relieverQuality start
6.1 IP · 3 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 2 BB
How it ended
TOR beat ARI 10-4. TOR outscored the other side 8-0 in the 1st inning.
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
ARI vs TOR
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactClement · doubled to left, Lukes to third.
Okamoto · doubled to left, Sánchez scored and Jiménez scored, Giménez to third.
Lukes · doubled to left, Giménez scored, Straw scored and Okamoto scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| ARI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Period scoring
TOR won 3 · ARI won 3
Inn 1
Lukes 3
Inn 2
McCann 1
Inn 3
Okamoto 1
Inn 4
Gim 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Castillo 1
Inn 7
Barrosa 2
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- T3
Okamoto homered to left center (406 feet).
TOR 9·ARI 1
−5pp
- T1
Lukes doubled to left, Giménez scored, Straw scored and Okamoto scored.
TOR 8·ARI 0
−7pp
- T1
Okamoto doubled to left, Sánchez scored and Jiménez scored, Giménez to third.
TOR 5·ARI 0
−10pp
- T1
Jiménez singled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored, Sánchez to second.
TOR 3·ARI 0
−8pp
- T1
Guerrero Jr. singled to right, Lukes scored and Clement scored.
TOR 2·ARI 0
−8pp
- T1
Clement doubled to left, Lukes to third.
TOR 0·ARI 0
−11pp
Team stats
TOR
Away
Stat
ARI
Home
14
Hits
10
0
Errors
0
10
Runs
4
Player box score
TOR
8-13
N. Lukes★
RF
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
1
RBI
3
HR
0
E. Clement★
2B
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Jimenez★
DH
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
1.850
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
3
HR
1
M. Straw★
RF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Valenzuela★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
14-38
R
10
RBI
10
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N. Lukes★RF | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.200 |
E. Clement★2B | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.200 |
J. Sanchez★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
E. Jimenez★DH | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.650 |
A. Gimenez★SS | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
K. Okamoto★3B | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1.850 |
M. Straw★RF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
B. Valenzuela★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 14-38 | 10 | 10 | 1 | — |
K. Gausman★
SP
IP
6.0
H
7
ER
2
K
4
M. Fluharty
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
2
K
1
T. Nance
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
B. Fisher
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
4
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Gausman★SP | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
M. FluhartyRP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
T. NanceRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
B. FisherRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 4 | 5 |
ARI
13-9
K. Marte★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Carroll★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Fernandez★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Gurriel Jr.★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Del Castillo★
C
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
I. Vargas★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
N. Arenado★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. McCann★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
A. Thomas★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Barrosa
LF
OPS
2.500
H-AB
1-2
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
T. Tawa
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
10-35
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Marte★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
C. Carroll★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Fernandez★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
L. Gurriel Jr.★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Del Castillo★C | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.417 |
I. Vargas★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
N. Arenado★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. McCann★C | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Thomas★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. BarrosaLF | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.500 |
T. TawaLF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 10-35 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
R. Nelson★
SP
IP
0.1
H
8
ER
8
K
1
A. Hoffmann
RP
IP
2.1
H
2
ER
1
K
3
B. Pfaadt
SP
IP
6.1
H
4
ER
1
K
3
IP
9.0
H
14
ER
10
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Nelson★SP | 0.1 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
A. HoffmannRP | 2.1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
B. PfaadtSP | 6.1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 14 | 10 | 7 |
Betting line
TOR -1.5·O/U 8·TOR -117/ARI -103