Apr 23, 26sim 98
238
13(H)4
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+1ATL
MIA
9-9
56
ATL
11-7
Truist Park · Atlanta, Georgia
27,441 attended
Line movement
9 snapshots
ATL spread
-1.5
open -1.5
Total
O/U 8.5
open O/U 8.5
ATL no-vig %
59.3%
open 59.3%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = ATL favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATL wins
MIA 5 · ATL 6 (by 1)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked ATL +5pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
