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FINAL+8WSH
WSH

WSH

47-70

8
0
SF

SF

59-59

Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
40,089 attended

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

WSH wins

WSH 8 · SF 0 (by 8)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked SF +11pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
WSH0401012008
SF0000000000

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 63-42
62%Last 30 · 326-201
Receipts →
MLB·Sun, Aug 10·Final/SeriesWSH wins series 2-1

Recap · MLB

Washington Nationals went into San Francisco Giants and beat them, 8–0. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

WSH
Josh Bell

Josh Bell

DH

1.550OPS

4-3

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

SF · top performer

SF
Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman

3B

0.667OPS

3-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

MLB · Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final
WSH47-70
8
0
SF59-59
WSH47-70·SF59-59
WSH

WSH

47-70

8
 Batting
PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK
J. WoodJ. Wood★RF
2-55124003
SPRINT27.457
C. AbramsC. Abrams★SS
2-55222101
SPRINT28.483
J. BellJ. Bell★DH
3-44030010
SPRINT25.18
P. DeJongP. DeJong★3B
3-55032000
N. LoweN. Lowe★DH
1-55010001
R. AdamsR. Adams★C
2-55220001
D. LileD. Lile★LF
2-55120000
B. HouseB. House★3B
1-55010002
J. YoungJ. Young★CF
1-55210000
Team17-44448178118
 Pitching
PlayerIPHRERBBKHR
M. GoreM. Gore★SP
6.03001100
C. HenryC. HenryRP
1.0000020
P. PoulinP. PoulinRP
1.0000020
C. BeeterC. BeeterRP
1.0000010
Team9.03001150
SF

SF

59-59

0
 Batting
PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK
H. RamosH. Ramos★LF
1-44010001
SPRINT27.251
R. DeversR. Devers★1B
0-44000002
SPRINT25.716
W. AdamesW. Adames★SS
0-33000012
W. FloresW. Flores★1B
0-44000001
M. ChapmanM. Chapman★3B
1-33010002
SPRINT28.175
C. SchmittC. Schmitt★DH
0-33000002
J. LeeJ. Lee★RF
0-33000002
P. BaileyP. Bailey★C
1-33010002
SPRINT24.32
D. GilbertD. Gilbert★CF
0-33000001
Team3-30300300115
 Pitching
PlayerIPHRERBBKHR
J. VerlanderJ. Verlander★SP
5.01155161
S. BivensS. BivensRP
3.0531020
C. KossC. Koss2B
1.0100000
Team9.01786181

Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail

Statcast · via Baseball Savant

WSH

  • M. Gore
    96 pitches·35% CSW
    • FF
      43%·95.5 mph·30% whiff
    • CU
      23%·83.1 mph·29% whiff
    • SL
      19%·87.8 mph·38% whiff
    • CH
      10%·86.7 mph·43% whiff
    • FC
      5%·91.1 mph·100% whiff
  • C. Henry
    13 pitches·38% CSW
    • FF
      69%·94.3 mph·0% whiff
    • ST
      23%·82.1 mph·100% whiff
    • CH
      8%·86.9 mph·— whiff
  • P. Poulin
    12 pitches·50% CSW
    • FF
      58%·90.9 mph·50% whiff
    • CH
      25%·79.8 mph·50% whiff
    • ST
      17%·77.9 mph·100% whiff
  • C. Beeter
    10 pitches·40% CSW
    • FF
      50%·97.1 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      50%·86.4 mph·33% whiff

SF

  • J. Verlander
    101 pitches·24% CSW
    • FF
      47%·95.0 mph·12% whiff
    • CU
      20%·78.9 mph·33% whiff
    • SL
      20%·88.3 mph·15% whiff
    • CH
      11%·85.5 mph·0% whiff
    • ST
      3%·82.5 mph·0% whiff
  • S. Bivens
    47 pitches·23% CSW
    • FC
      28%·92.4 mph·0% whiff
    • SI
      28%·95.6 mph·0% whiff
    • CH
      26%·88.9 mph·13% whiff
    • FF
      13%·95.5 mph·0% whiff
    • ST
      4%·83.8 mph·0% whiff
    • SV
      2%·80.3 mph·— whiff
  • C. Koss
    11 pitches·27% CSW
    • EP
      82%·51.0 mph·0% whiff
    • KN
      18%·58.9 mph·0% whiff

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

17

Hits

3

8

Runs

0

0

Errors

1

Current series

WSH wins series 2-1

Aug 9WSHWSH0@SFSF5
Aug 9WSHWSH4@SFSF2
Aug 10WSHWSH8@SFSF0today

Season series

Series tied 3-3

May 23SFSF4@WSHWSH0
May 24SFSF0@WSHWSH3
May 25SFSF3@WSHWSH2
Aug 9WSHWSH0@SFSF5
Aug 9WSHWSH4@SFSF2
Aug 10WSHWSH8@SFSF0today

Headlines · top performers

Game flowWSH ↔ SF

Biggest swing: 20pp · Top 2nd Inning

WSHWSH
J. Bell

J. Bell

DH

Batter of the game

3-for-4 · 1.550 OPS

M. Gore

M. Gore

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 10 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 1 BB

SFSF
M. Chapman

M. Chapman

3B

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 0.667 OPS

J. Verlander

J. Verlander

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 6 K · 5 ER · 11 H · 1 BB

How it ended

WSH beat SF 8-0. Wood's play in the top 2nd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

SF vs WSH

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
WSHTop 2nd Inning · 0-0
+12pp→ 57% WP

Lile · doubled to right, Adams to third.

WSHTop 2nd Inning · 2-0
+20pp→ 64% WP

Wood · doubled to right, Adams scored and Lile scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
WSH0401012008
SF0000000000

Period scoring

WSH won 4 · SF won 0

0
0

Inn 1

4
0

Inn 2

Wood 2

0
0

Inn 3

1
0

Inn 4

DeJong 1

0
0

Inn 5

1
0

Inn 6

DeJong 1

2
0

Inn 7

Wood 2

0
0

Inn 8

0
0

Inn 9

WSH
SF

Play-by-play · 565 plays

period
event
player
  1. End 9t

    End of the 9th inning

    WSH 8·SF 0

  2. B9

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  3. B9

    Flores fouled out to catcher.

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  4. B9

    Pitch 2 : Ball In Play

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  5. B9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  6. B9

    Clayton Beeter pitches to Wilmer Flores

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  7. B9

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  8. B9

    Adames struck out swinging.

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  9. B9

    Pitch 4 : Strike 3 Swinging

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  10. B9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  11. B9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  12. B9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  13. B9

    Clayton Beeter pitches to Willy Adames

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  14. B9

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  15. B9

    Devers grounded out to shortstop.

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  16. B9

    Pitch 4 : Ball In Play

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  17. B9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 2

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  18. B9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  19. B9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  20. B9

    Clayton Beeter pitches to Rafael Devers

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  21. B9

    Beeter relieved Poulin

    ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  22. B9

    Bottom of the 9th inning

    WSH 8·SF 0

  23. M9

    Middle of the 9th inning

    WSH 8·SF 0

  24. T9

    · ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  25. T9

    Young lined out to center.

    · ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  26. T9

    Pitch 5 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  27. T9

    Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Looking

    · ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  28. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 2

    · ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  29. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Looking

    · ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

  30. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    WSH 8·SF 0

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

SF

Home

8

Runs

0

17

Hits

3

0

Errors

1

24

TB

3

1

HR

0

1

BB

1

8

K

15

20

LOB

11

STATCAST · Tonight’s standouts

4 of 11 players in cohort
  • Daylen LileWSH · LF
    SPRINT29.395
  • CJ AbramsWSH · SS
    SPRINT28.483
  • Matt ChapmanSF · 3B
    SPRINT28.175
  • Casey SchmittSF · DH
    SPRINT2872

Player projections

SF vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 69 high confidence

Strikeouts

  • Landen RouppSF
    6.1± 2.1low
  • Cade CavalliWSH
    5.9± 4.3low
  • Foster GriffinWSH
    5.5± 3.4low

Hits

  • Jung Hoo LeeSF
    1.3± 1.1high
  • James WoodWSH
    1.3± 1.4high
  • Keibert RuizWSH
    1.3± 0.8high

Total bases

  • Casey SchmittSF
    2.4± 2.2high
  • Keibert RuizWSH
    2.4± 2.0high
  • Willy AdamesSF
    2.3± 2.3high

RBIs

  • Keibert RuizWSH
    1.0± 1.6high
  • Casey SchmittSF
    0.9± 1.3high
  • Rafael DeversSF
    0.8± 1.6high

Earned runs

  • Adrian HouserSF
    3.1± 2.9low
  • Logan WebbSF
    3.1± 2.6low
  • Robbie RaySF
    2.8± 3.4low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

62.0%

ensemble · SF favored

  • Elo Static

    60.7%

    P(SF win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Pitching

    61.1%

    P(SF win)

    33%

    weight

  • Bullpen Park

    60.6%

    P(SF win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.22 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 999 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year + total_runs

  • Aug 9, 25sim 96
    200
    26(H)5
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Aug 9, 25sim 95
    204
    26(H)2
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Jul 27, 25sim 94
    207
    9(H)2
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Sep 20, 25sim 93
    205
    21(H)3
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Sep 21, 25sim 92
    203
    21(H)2
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Jul 26, 25sim 91
    209
    9(H)3
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs