Aug 2, 25sim 98
100
28(H)2
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs

DET
65-48

PHI
63-48
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
PHI wins
DET 0 · PHI 2 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked PHI +4pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PHI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
Historical comparables
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year + total_runs